Blog Archives: August 2006

Latest on Ernesto

Posted August 31st, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 0 comments

Ernesto should be making landfall on the North Carolina coastline near Cape Fear tonight before midnight. You can see from the radar picture that Ernesto is doing well. It has 70 mph winds as it approaches the coast. Not much has changed in the last 24 hours regarding Ernesto's impacts... Continue reading…

Wednesday's Update on Ernesto

Posted August 30th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 2 comments

I've been looking at model data and some past storm tracks for a good chunk of the day, trying to figure out what Ernesto might have in store for us. Truth be told, I feel no more certain about things than I did this time yesterday, but we can remove... Continue reading…

Latest on Ernesto and Us

Posted August 29th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 0 comments

I think one of the biggest misconceptions people have about hurricanes and tropical storms involves wind speed. Ernesto has been hyped up from day one as possibly being the first major hurricane of the season. It did not get there, and as a result, people have begun to call Ernesto... Continue reading…

Tuesday's Rain + Ernesto

Posted August 28th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 3 comments

First off, lost in the shuffle of a pretty miserable weekend and Hurricane/Tropical Storm Ernesto is the fact that a Flood Watch has been issued for the Southern Tier of New York and northern Pennsylvania. This includes Otsego, Chenango and Delaware Counties in our area. Fortunately for us, rainfall amounts... Continue reading…

Ways to destroy/weaken a hurricane...

Posted August 27th, 2006 by Bill Kardas. 4 comments

Can we really weaken a hurricane? People have come up with some interesting theories. I'll explore some of those and talk about natural 'killers' to hurricanes. Continue reading…

What steers hurricanes?

Posted August 26th, 2006 by Bill Kardas. 4 comments

So what drives hurricanes? That's a good, but not easy question to answer. Before I can answer that, I've got to give you some information on how hurricanes work. Continue reading…

Storms, Weekend, Tropics, More!

Posted August 25th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 3 comments

First of all, tonight's showers and rains continue and should continue until early morning, with the back edge out of here late tonight. We've really lucked out tonight with just general rainfall. Western New York has seen some extremely nasty weather. We had one report of a funnel cloud in... Continue reading…

Showers/Storms Tonight

Posted August 25th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 15 comments

If you'll recall last night I mentioned the possibility of a scenario, similar to that which has been occurring over the Midwest, with showers and thunderstorms developing and tracking along the northeast side of a frontal boundary. Well, our computer models took that away today, and wouldn't you know it...check... Continue reading…

Why aren't we confident in this forecast?

Posted August 25th, 2006 by Bill Kardas. 5 comments

A weekend still up in the air... Continue reading…

The tropics are back in action...

Posted August 25th, 2006 by Bill Kardas. 2 comments

After a relatively quiet stretch, the tropics are starting to show some life once again. Continue reading…

Honing in on the Weekend

Posted August 24th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 3 comments

Well, it turned out to be not so bad a day today...you can see what kind of weather we're dealing with. Transition seasons begin some of the trickiest forecasts of the year, so we need to be on our toes here in the Weather Center. Let me hone in on the... Continue reading…

More on Upcoming Weather

Posted August 23rd, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 3 comments

Things have shifted again on us in the Weather Center. I'm having a fit with this forecast. This weak wave progged to come through here tomorrow is running well ahead of schedule at this point. In fact, as you can see from the image, the bulk of the clouds are... Continue reading…

Just when you think you've got it all figured out...

Posted August 22nd, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 3 comments

This forecast has proved to be one of the most challenging since probably the winter. There have been a lot of changes, factors and odds and ends going into it that have changed considerably from day to day since Sunday. In the short term, a cold front will slide through span... Continue reading…

Odds and Ends

Posted August 21st, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 3 comments

As we told you yesterday, it looks like a warm up is in store here. I now think this warm up will last from Friday afternoon through about Sunday, with a couple bumps in the road between now and then. The first of these comes tomorrow, when a weak cold... Continue reading…

Issues for the Week Ahead...

Posted August 20th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 1 comments

This past weekend's storm behaved almost as expected, except it took one of those weird paths to get there. Instead of one storm, we actually had two separate disturbances. Most of the rain fell across southern New York. Still though, most areas picked up about an inch or so here... Continue reading…

Some big changes...

Posted August 19th, 2006 by Bill Kardas. 5 comments

As Matt pointed out in his last blog, this storm system has been moving faster than what our computer models have been suggesting. This has completely flip-flopped our weekend forecast. Instead of having the heavy rain here for your Sunday, almost all of it has fallen today. ... Continue reading…

Weekend Rain

Posted August 18th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 0 comments

Some new data arriving into the Weather Center seems to be backing the trends we've started to notice since last night. It looks like we'll still end up with a solid 1-2" of rain across CNY with the potential for an isolated higher amount or two (the graphic here... Continue reading…

Weekend Soaker?

Posted August 17th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 2 comments

It looks more and more likely that a significant rainstorm will be affecting us here starting late Saturday and lingering into Sunday. The image you see is a map of forecasted precipitation between Friday night and Monday morning. It's taken directly from just one of the several computer models in... Continue reading…

Rain Returning to CNY?

Posted August 16th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 4 comments

We've had about 12 days since our last significant rainfall here in Central New York. But we may be seeing a similar scenario unfolding this weekend to what we saw back in June and July. The graphic is what the National Weather Service thinks about rainfall over the weekend. You can... Continue reading…

Tropics About to Heat Up?

Posted August 15th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 2 comments

So it's very quiet here! Let's talk tropics... Pictured in the image is an area of low pressure. At the top of the image is the North Carolina coast. This feature doesn't look like much, but it may become our next tropical system to watch. We're also watching an area of... Continue reading…

More Fantastic Weather to Come!

Posted August 14th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 4 comments

In the Weather Center, I have to admit, we've kind of been at a loss lately. We've gone from a summer with almost daily thunderstorms that needed to be watched, flash flooding potential, consistent heat and humidty, along with the occasional tornado over to this bright sunshine, low humidity, nice... Continue reading…

Chilly Night Update...

Posted August 11th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 2 comments

Checking out some observations from around the region tonight. Current forecast is on track. Oneida County Airport was at 58 as of 9 PM, with a dewpoint of 46. This should put us on track for a low of 44-46. Or so that's my hope! Here are some other obs...some... Continue reading…

Perseid Meteor Shower

Posted August 11th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 1 comments

The Perseids, an annual meteor shower, will be peaking this weekend. We put together a viewing guide for you, and it can be found here. Bundle up too! We're still on target for a chilly night! We'll have an update toward 9 or 10 this evening.... Continue reading…

Record Cold Possible Tomorrow Night

Posted August 10th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 1 comments

This time last week we were all greatful for losing the near-record heat. Many spots in the Northeast set record high temperatures during the week. Talk about polar opposites... A fresh, cool Canadian air mass is going to settle in on top of us tonight and tomorrow. This will help... Continue reading…
It's been nice the last couple days, thanks mostly to dewpoints. A friend of mine sent me an article yesterday published in Houston, TX on how one television station there is eliminating the dewpoint from their forecasts, entirely. No dewpoint maps, no dewpoint on the "Current Conditions" graphic, etc. If... Continue reading…

Perfect Weather?

Posted August 8th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 4 comments

The image is a snapshot of satellite imagery from Tuesday morning. The clouds you see over CNY (primarily west of our area) are actually partially due to Lake Ontario...lake effect clouds! Can you tell we're starting to wind summer down a bit? We'll delve more into this when we... Continue reading…

A look at the week ahead

Posted August 6th, 2006 by Bill Kardas. 3 comments

Hope you enjoyed the weekend. This may be only a taste of things to come! Find out why... Continue reading…
Weekend looks great here in CNY for the weekend with no t-storms possible until later Sunday night or Monday. Get out and enjoy it! I wanted to blog about the heat of late, and mostly, how there are huge differences between urban and rural settings. Let's start with what's happened... Continue reading…

Quiet time for the weekend....

Posted August 4th, 2006 by Bill Kardas. 2 comments

One last look at last Saturday, quiet weather, and potential projects... Continue reading…

Quieter Weather Ahead...

Posted August 3rd, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 9 comments

Not much to talk about in the weather department tonight, as all the storms are to our south, and nothing more than a few showers or rumbles of thunder can be expected tonight. Cooler temperatures and lower humidity will arrive here tonight and Friday. Thank you to the viewers last... Continue reading…

T-Storm Warning, Oneida County

Posted August 2nd, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 25 comments

HE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHERN ONEIDA COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW YORK UNTIL 1215 AM EDT AT 1118 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE... Continue reading…

New Update on Storms

Posted August 2nd, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 10 comments

Winds out ahead of these complexes can occasionally fire off new thunderstorms and we're seeing this rapidly occur now. Nasty line of storms out ahead of the main, weakening complex stretches from Oswego through Lowville now and will continue dropping south and east. We may see warnings or borderline warning... Continue reading…

Severe Weather Threat Update

Posted August 2nd, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 2 comments

Well, the good news is that the line of storms appears to be weakening a bit. We've seen a decrease in lightning strikes with it, as well as a decrease in overall intensity. Should this trend continue, the only threat from this may be some heavy rain. We'll continue to... Continue reading…

Potential for more severe weather increasing...

Posted August 2nd, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 6 comments

A nasty line of thunderstorms over Ontario continues on a path for Central and Northern New York. This line of storms has the potential to produce widespread damaging wind gusts of 50-70 mph. I'm mostly concerned with areas north of Utica, but anyone in CNY could see severe weather... Continue reading…

Today's Storms Wrap, Round II tonight?

Posted August 2nd, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 4 comments

Let me quickly recap what happened today. A line of nasty storms formed, on what Adam Musyt and I believe to be a lake breeze boundary. Because of the cooler temperature of Lake Ontario, sometimes you get a breeze that blows off it into the hotter, more unstable air. The... Continue reading…

NWS Confirms a Tornado from Saturday's Storms

Posted August 1st, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 3 comments

The image you see is from this site and shows Saturday's line of storms very well. The National Weather Service determined that a tornado did touch down in Marcy on Saturday. The storm caused several trees to be damaged. I will post the statement from the NWS in... Continue reading…

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