Blog Archives: November 2006

A Busy Friday Ahead!

Posted November 30th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 11 comments

I'm going to touch on a lot of things in this blog, primarily what's coming Friday, what's coming after Friday for the weekend, and then what's coming next week. Lastly, I want to just briefly touch on hurricane season (that still exists?) while it's a relevant topic. Let's Play a Game: a... Continue reading…
It looks like we're set up for yet another in the barrage of active storms here in CNY this autumn. We're all but nixing the idea of this being a significant snowmaker. All of our models have come into line with each other and agree that the storm track... Continue reading…

The Only Certainty....is Uncertainty...

Posted November 28th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 25 comments

And lots of it here in the weather department. I was talking to Amanda about the forecast situation earlier and joked with her that I thought by leaving New Jersey, I could avoid forecast problems with a rain vs. snow line! Apparently not. Let me run down things here. Short-term (Wednesday-Thursday) The... Continue reading…

Latest on Late Week Event + Shorter Term Stuff

Posted November 27th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 47 comments

First off, the image is Seattle, Washington tonight. For more images, click here. Check out Monday Night Football if you can tonight. It's the Packers against the Seahawks. You've seen many a game from Green Bay that's had snow. But, you're about to see a Packers game IN Seattle... Continue reading…

Our first snowstorm of the season???

Posted November 26th, 2006 by Bill Kardas. 28 comments

We've got quite an interesting setup for the end of the week. There are a LOT of possibilities, and I want to dive into a few, and give you my opinion on which ones have the best shot of happening and why. Continue reading…

Interesting email & response

Posted November 25th, 2006 by Bill Kardas. 8 comments

A viewer wants to know more about how the east wind works here for Utica: Continue reading…

Winter is in Sight + A Lake Effect Lesson

Posted November 23rd, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 12 comments

But first enjoy the next 3 days. The weather is going to be spectacular, so get out and have fun if you can. It may be 4 or 5 months until we have a weekend like this again...who knows? The freezing rain scenario worked out today as very few problems were... Continue reading…

Freezing Drizzle, the return of Winter? and More!

Posted November 22nd, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 10 comments

Freezing Drizzle Well, clearly this storm, as we said several days ago, would cause fits among us, and it continues to do so! Looking at radar trends over the last couple of hours...there's very little northward movement to the area of rain over northern New Jersey back into the Lehigh Valley... Continue reading…
I'll probably start setting the stage for winter this week by talking a bit about lake effect, how it forms, how it affects some areas, and maybe a little history. We'll delve into it. First though, I want to talk about the possible return of winter. Just briefly, that coastal... Continue reading…

Coastal Storms, November Updates and more...

Posted November 20th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 5 comments

This coastal storm will be giving us fits all week long. Right now the best guess is a drencher in North Carolina, South Carolina and Georgia. Especially in North Carolina, where some parts of the state could see quite a dose of rain. Our very latest computer model runs suggest... Continue reading…

Interesting Talk/Lecture Tonight at Utica College

Posted November 20th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 3 comments

If any of you are serious weather buffs, you may want to check out this talk at Utica College (Library Concourse) tonight at 7 PM. The talk is about public policy and funding of scientific research. The hows and whys of it, and with global warming and climate... Continue reading…

Where we stand on the long range forecast...

Posted November 18th, 2006 by Bill Kardas. 9 comments

The Thanksgiving forecast is still sort of up in the air...we'll give you an explanation, along with some tools to help explain the different scenarios. Continue reading…

Flooding Recap/Look Ahead

Posted November 17th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 5 comments

The photo you see was submitted by Patsy in Lake Delta. You can see that the water there was indeed high, prompting the flood warnings that continue this evening. Nothing really new to add in recapping this whole event. But an interesting rain stat for you. Rich from Steuben was gracious... Continue reading…

Flood Warning Updates

Posted November 16th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 10 comments

Well, I'm checking out for the night, but I'll leave the latest Flood Warnings in here: Flood Warnings West Canada Creek at Kast Bridge Flood Stage: 6 feet, Forecast Stage: 7.1 feet Creek will crest after midnight and being to fall back below flood stage on Friday Morning. Chenango River, throughout Chenango Countybr... Continue reading…

Update on Flooding in CNY

Posted November 16th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 10 comments

Flash Flood Warnings have been extended past midnight for Oneida, Otsego, Madison, Chenango, Delaware Counties. Herkimer County remains under until at least 10 PM. River Flood Warnings in effect for rivers in Chenango County, Broome County and Delaware County. River Flood Warning in effect for West Canada Creek, with... Continue reading…

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Possible

Posted November 16th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 66 comments

The NWS may issue a watch here within the hour. More details can be found here. Impressive line of storms over W NY and W/C PA right now will move east toward CNY this afternoon. Unfortunately, this will move through right around the evening commute, so stay tuned.... Continue reading…

Who'll Stop the Rain?

Posted November 15th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 4 comments

The latest in our barrage of autumn storms is about to move in. Rain has begun for areas south and west of Utica. Like I said last night, it looked as though we were going to see the rain move in a little earlier than what one might normally have... Continue reading…

Let's Talk About Thursday and What's Next...

Posted November 14th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 11 comments

Our computer models have not been the epitome of consistency lately, but one thing they've all honed in on since late last week, has been Thursday's storm. Check it out. This is a surface map from 8 PM Tuesday Evening. You can see the storm beginning to wind up over... Continue reading…

Where's the Sun?

Posted November 13th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 5 comments

Well November is traditionally one of the cloudier, if not the cloudiest, months of the year. So now one of our biggest forecast challenges is to find some sunshine. The image is from BUFKIT, a forecast program we use that takes computer model data and lays it out in... Continue reading…

Vorticity 101

Posted November 11th, 2006 by Bill Kardas. 3 comments

Hey, it's raining pretty hard out there! Want to know why? There is a lot of lift in the atmosphere tonight, and no shortage of moisture to work with either. What I'm going to talk about today is a bit technical, so either bear with me or bail out. Continue reading…

What Happened to Winter!?

Posted November 10th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 14 comments

First off, thank you to everyone for the comments! We really do try our best here to do as much for everyone as is humanly possible. And we always want to keep meeting everyone's expectations. And as our website continues to evolve, I'm sure so will people's tastes, so we'll... Continue reading…

Lots of Quick Changes Ahead...

Posted November 8th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 10 comments

The computer model data coming into the weather center has me optimistic on our end that things won't be quite as "boring," weather wise, in the coming days. Here's a rundown on temperatures/trends over the next 7 days: Thursday: Well above normal, dry Friday: Slightly Above normal, dry Saturday: Normal to... Continue reading…

Quick Tuesday Night Update

Posted November 7th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 3 comments

We're in full Election Day mode here at NEWSChannel 2, so that means we won't have time to go too in depth on the weather. And that's fine, because there's very little going on. There are a couple of national and international weather stories you should check out though.... Continue reading…

Radar Can Show More Than Just Rain!

Posted November 6th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 6 comments

Check this out: Buffalo Radar This is a loop of Buffalo's radar from 5 PM to 8 PM today. Notice how the radar fills in at bottom and how it looks like rain is moving from north to south? That's not rain. Those are actually birds, migrating south for winter. That's... Continue reading…
First off, welcome back to Amanda! We've held down fort the last 6 months, but it's good to have her back. This is a great thing for our weeknights though because now both myself and Amanda will be able to cover weather. Especially in times of significant weather, having the... Continue reading…

And it Continues!

Posted November 3rd, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 8 comments

More lake effect tonight. The band reorganized this evening on the border of Oneida and Lewis Counties and dropped south to near Rome at about 6 PM. It's remained pretty steady since then, so I imagine some snow totals are stacking up in Camden, Ava, Northwestern, over to about... Continue reading…

Much of Viewing Area About to Get Slammed...

Posted November 2nd, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 20 comments

Radar showing heavy snow moving in from the west. This will arrive in Rome by 10:30, Boonville by 10:15, Utica by 10:45, and should it hold together, Herkimer, Mohawk, Little Falls between 10:45 and 11. Heavy snow will fall. There is the potential for some thunder. Low visibility. A quick... Continue reading…

First Lake Effect Event for Many!

Posted November 2nd, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 7 comments

Just to answer any questions about "how much for my town?" Click this link for the latest snow forecast. Click this link for the snow forecast on Friday. In the image is the forecasted precipitation totals for tonight from one of our computer models. Actually, this is data... Continue reading…

Lake Effect Update + Live at 5...

Posted November 2nd, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 10 comments

Just wanted to let people know that Lake Effect Snow Warnings are now in effect for Oneida County, with advisories for Madison County as well. Will be interesting to watch unfold. We've got full coverage on NEWSChannel 2 at noon right now, and we'll have more for you on... Continue reading…

Lake Effect Could be Interesting Thursday Night-Friday

Posted November 1st, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 4 comments

First off, the radar image at right is tonight's event. This rain will move through this evening. But as the atmosphere cools overnight, it will mix with and change to snow. Most of this will slide off to our south and east. This is why we're calling for no more... Continue reading…

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