Blog Archives: January 2007

Recapping January + A Look at the Cold

Posted January 31st, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 37 comments

This is attempt #2 at a decent entry...oh well! I wanted to preface in regard to the reader from Plymouth's comments quickly. We "officially" serve eastern Oneida, Herkimer and Otsego Counties. Because we have a high number of viewers in western Oneida, Madison, southern Lewis, northeastern Chenango (Norwich, Sherburne, New Berline),... Continue reading…

A Tale of Two Januaries + Latest on LES Round IV

Posted January 30th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 92 comments

Climatology I crunched a couple numbers....average Januaries and January 2007. Here we go: January 1-15 Average Year: 21.6 degrees, 13.9" snow January 2007: 36.7 degrees (+15.1), 6.8" snow (-7.1") January 16-30 Average Year: 20.6 degrees, 10.6" snow January 2007: 14.4 degrees (-6.2), 15.6" snow (+5.0") Granted, these numbers are unofficial thanks to the switch from span... Continue reading…

8:45 PM LES Update

Posted January 29th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 58 comments

Unbelievable snowfall continues....but just to our west. Oswego County has been utterly pounded by snow and continues to do so. What's Happened So Far Lake effect developed along the Lake Ontario shoreline. Heavy lake snows have hammered parts of northeastern Wayne, northern Cayuga and Oswego Counties. Snowfall reports are sparse, but what... Continue reading…

Lake effect snow developing...

Posted January 29th, 2007 by Bill Kardas. 41 comments

As we head into the afternoon hours, lake effect has developed across some of the region. Check out this article for an update on the forecast. Continue reading…

Lake Effect on its way

Posted January 28th, 2007 by Bill Kardas. 68 comments

Indeed, we are going for a decent lake effect event for the day tomorrow. In this entry, we'll give you an in depth look at what we are thinking... Continue reading…

Freezing 'Snizzle'?

Posted January 27th, 2007 by Bill Kardas. 45 comments

I am darn curious as to why we saw freezing drizzle here this morning, and why it is starting to continue once again. It is very rare to see any form of mixed precipitation when the temperature is in the single digits. Continue reading…

You're as Cold as Ice!

Posted January 26th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 25 comments

Okay...you're a lot colder than it if you stepped outside right now. We're going to leave the cold alone. If you want to recap it, grab a cup of hot chocolate and click here to review low temperatures (will be updated through Midnight). The map you see is just... Continue reading…

How Low Can We Go?

Posted January 25th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 61 comments

THat'll be the question tonight. We'll have a few lake effect clouds to deal with south and west of Utica, but clear skies to the north and east. We'll also have a bit of a breeze around...which will keep the air mixed a bit in spots. Right now, we're anticipating... Continue reading…

What's Cooler Than Bein' Cool? Ice Cold!

Posted January 24th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 31 comments

And that's just what we're going to be Thursday....freezing! But with this bitter cold air, we're not going bonkers about lake effect. How can this be? Let me explain... Here's a snapshot of BUFKIT during the day on Thursday. Open this image in a new window, and play along. Problem 1 -... Continue reading…

11 PM LES Update

Posted January 23rd, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 45 comments

Alright, just based on some of the latest data, this event is going to be a tough one to call. Here's the radar at 10:35 It looks like a shortwave (upper level disturbance) is helping to energize some of the lake effect on the Tug Hill. It looks like a second... Continue reading…

Latest on LES

Posted January 23rd, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 45 comments

Couple of quick hitting points here. The NWS has issued Lake Effect Snow Warnings, but per their discussions, even that is a low confidence forecast at this point. The problems are because of the LES parameters and model output vs. what we've seen this winter and the setup. Shear is... Continue reading…

LES Round 3 (Tuesday Night-Wednesday Night)

Posted January 22nd, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 43 comments

First, we want to thank an anonymous viewer for contributing this strikingly beautiful sunset photo in Marcy. We're not sure if this was taken at some point this weekend, or if it was taken in December 2005 (which is possible, as we had plenty of snow then). But it's gorgeous... Continue reading…

NWS style snowfall

Posted January 21st, 2007 by Bill Kardas. 21 comments

In this entry, we'll explore how the NWS measures snowfall...and how you should too! Continue reading…

Wrapping Up Lake Effect and a Look Ahead

Posted January 20th, 2007 by Bill Kardas. 43 comments

This event was pretty spectacular. As most of you have probably seen on our website already, we've had numerous snowfall totals trickle in to the weather department all day, and many locations from Rome on north picked up well over a foot. I wanted to spend some time diving into what happened last night, and what can be learned from it. Continue reading…

LES Update + Quick Forecast Notes

Posted January 19th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 75 comments

Well it's late, so I'm going to do some bullet point graphics. -No unnecessary travel order is in effect for Oneida County. -Snowfall of 8-13" on average across the entire northern half of Oneida County. Click here for a radar image as of 9:30 We have three distinct areas of span... Continue reading…

Snow Coming for Some + Housekeeping

Posted January 18th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 64 comments

Let's get the housekeeping out of the way first. Switching "Official" Observations from Utica to Rome We're currently in the process of transferring where our current conditions come from. Starting tonight, all of our observations and the "official" temperatures you see on the news will come from Griffiss Business and Tech. Park... Continue reading…

Looking Toward Friday

Posted January 17th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 93 comments

Well, here's attempt #2 at this entry. It won't be as good as the first, so I apologize. I wanted to acknowledge the Mount Washington Observatory today. Mt. Washington is the highest peak in the Northeast. They had winds of hurricane force today, along with a - 32 degree... Continue reading…

The Streak is Over

Posted January 16th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 58 comments

I could not tell you if it's a record, or where it stands all-time. I do know that it's one of the weirdest things I've ever seen in a winter, and today marks the end of it. Today is the first time since December 8 that we have seen a below... Continue reading…

Ice Storm '07 Recap + COLD!

Posted January 15th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 60 comments

Well, we lucked out with this one in a sense. The storm track was from Erie, PA to just north of Binghamton, to just south of us. Thankfully, the storm came close enough to us to provide some warm air to start melting some of the ice. Still, we have... Continue reading…

Breaking down a complicated forecast...

Posted January 14th, 2007 by Bill Kardas. 168 comments

This forecast is very complicated because a lot of things are going on as the storm passes through the region, and also because topography plays such a major role in these 'borderline' rain/snow/ice events. Continue reading…

Too close to call...

Posted January 13th, 2007 by Bill Kardas. 106 comments

As we've been commenting about in the last article, things aren't looking quite as clear as they did last night. Continue reading…

Snow Looking More Likely for Monday

Posted January 12th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 105 comments

We're starting to feel a little more confident in the Weather Center tonight. That's not necessarily a good thing...sometimes we have everything figured out and another monkey wrench is thrown in. But let's talk about how things should unfold now for the weekend, based on the latest data. Synopsis What we're going... Continue reading…

I'll Take Potpourri for $800, Alex...

Posted January 11th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 80 comments

Still no signs of definition regarding the Sunday-Monday storm. Let me just break down what our models are saying again and talk about the concerns we have. Then we'll talk about the beyond a bit. Model Overview GFS: As we said before...the latest runs point to an all snow event. As... Continue reading…

A Look at the Weekend...

Posted January 10th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 91 comments

In the photo...the road was closed! Thanks to viewers for submitting photos and thanks to all who submitted snow totals. A great help! We'll have a recap in the web link with the totals. As for the LES tonight...expect it to continue dwindling. There are pockets of moderate snow... Continue reading…

Lake Effect Ending...Looking Toward the Weekend

Posted January 10th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 25 comments

I may post more in depth later tonight. Snow forecast tonight is to the right. Most of it should sit to the south of Utica and basically snow itself out. So a trace to two inches is expected. Maybe up to 3" if the bands sits a little longer. Regardless,... Continue reading…

Lake Effect Focus Shifts Southward...

Posted January 9th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 203 comments

On the right, you see our snow map. If you can't read it, click here. First off...a warning. This lake effect band has not even organized itself yet in the areas that will get hit tonight, so if something changes in the slightest, this could alter this map. The logic behind... Continue reading…

LES 01-08-06 Update 1

Posted January 8th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 117 comments

Lake effect has organized after sunset, as expected. As of about 8 PM, we had this on radar. Pretty well organized lake band now across central Lewis County and northeastern Oswego County. Montague is getting clobbered. "About 5" on the ground, per Barnes Corners webcam":http://www.northernchateau.com/webcam.html There is some extension... Continue reading…

Winter's Back... for a Couple Days...

Posted January 8th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 19 comments

This lake effect event is going to be interesting to watch unfold. Almost all of CNY could get into the act at some point, and some folks may be quite pleased with how they do. Not going to go too heavy into details right now... we'll talk more about... Continue reading…

Snow far, snow good...

Posted January 7th, 2007 by Bill Kardas. 62 comments

A little bit of everything in this entry...from the warm weekend weather, to lake effect, to the long term forecast...and toying with the question 'are we ever going to see a winter?' Continue reading…

Dominoes Begin Falling...but we get Warmer First

Posted January 4th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 106 comments

Who would have thought that as I write this in January it'd be 51 at Utica and 56 at Syracuse? Not many of you. Not us either. But the damage has been done and here we are. Now, we've been saying since mid-December that in order for this weather pattern... Continue reading…

It Has to Get Worse Before it Gets Better

Posted January 2nd, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 51 comments

We're not going to be seeing any cold this week. In fact, we may undergo what a lot of weather enthusiasts refer to as "blowtorching." It is what it sounds like...mild air that's thrust in here in winter. This...in a normal year...would be our January thaw. You can see from... Continue reading…

Another 'winterless' week...

Posted January 2nd, 2007 by Bill Kardas. 11 comments

The weather patterns are certainly not favoring any cold and snow in the short term, so I figured I'd stray way off topic and talk about something different today. Continue reading…

Archives Index