Windswept and Wet...Then White Again

Posted January 30th, 2013 by Adam Musyt. 136 comments

A strong cold front continues to work across the Upper Midwest late this evening.  A deep flow of air directly from the Gulf of Mexico will continue to allow for a steady rain through the early morning hours with embedded heavier downpours.  As of 10 PM rainfall has been only about a third of an inch at Griffiss, but there is still plenty of moisture filling in to the south and west, and 1”-2” rainfall totals should be fair game by daybreak, with some locally higher amounts in any bursts of rain that develop along the front.  A Flood Watch has been issued for all of CNY for the potential of some local flooding in flood-prone areas.  Also with colder air returning there is the chance that the rain may end as a brief period of wet snow around daybreak over the higher elevations before the precipitation transitions to lake effect snow focused over the North Country.  More on that in just a bit.

 

So far with the cold front this evening winds have been gusting upwards of 40 miles per hour throughout much of Indiana and Ohio and similar conditions can be expected here as the boundary approaches.  The front will cross CNY in the predawn hours and with its passage the best chance of seeing wind gusts upwards of 50 miles per hour will be over the higher terrain and in open areas.  Wind speeds this high could lead to localized sporadic power outages and there may be some twigs and debris to dodge on the way to work Thursday morning.  The gusty conditions will continue through the day Thursday and as a result High Wind Warnings are in effect for our area.

 

During the day Thursday our focus will shift to the lake effect snow band that will rapidly get its act together.  Snow is expected to break out around or shortly after sunrise across the North Country.  With ample synoptic moisture and a very good unidirectional west to east wind flow for several hours during the day, the snow band should be prolific enough to produce snow accumulations of 3”-6” by evening along the Oneida/Lewis line and points northward.  Even locally higher amounts are possible in persistent squalls.  For the Valley and the rest of CNY windy conditions with an occasional lighter snow shower and flurry and scattered peeks of sun will be the rule as temperatures slowly fall through the 30’s and into the 20’s.

 

By Thursday evening a secondary cold front will swing through the area and this will change the wind direction to a more northwesterly orientation.  This will serve to bring the lake effect band southward toward the Thruway corridor for a time Thursday Night.  Once the band starts its southward progression it looks to stay on the move and synoptic moisture will be decreasing.  Still, a quick few inches of snow are *possible* for Southern Oneida County during the night even with a slightly less favorable setup.  We’ll have our official Thursday Night snowfall forecast during our morning broadcast.

 

After the lake snows wind down during the day Friday, seasonably cold weather will take hold for a while with opportunities for (mostly light) snowfalls for many of the next several days.  That’s our forecast.  Punxsutawney Phil will weigh in on Saturday.  In the meantime batten down the hatches, secure any loose objects outdoors and, starting Thursday afternoon, bundle up!  As always, the latest forecasts can be found on NewsChannel 2 and the weather page of wktv.com.

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  1. Rob (Whitesboro):

    So far my highest wind gust has been only 20mph. Cold front is cutting through Oneida County now so it should pick up very soon.

    Posted January 31st at 3:42 AM

  2. Winter (Forestport):

    ... 49° ... Wind driven heavy rain … Even up here the “...s“NO“w…” Is taking a tremendous hit … January cataclysmic thaw !!! I don’t even want to see what the dawn brings …

    Posted January 31st at 4:11 AM

  3. Rob (Whitesboro):

    Front just came through here with a 32mph gust. Snow should start between 5 and 6AM for the hilltops.

    Posted January 31st at 4:13 AM

  4. Bill Kardas (WKTV):

    51mph wind gust reported at 3:35am at Syracuse. The front will cross most of our area within the hour, bringing with it widespread 40-50mph wind gusts.

    Posted January 31st at 4:15 AM

  5. Bill Kardas (WKTV):

    Rome just gusted to 45mph.

    Posted January 31st at 4:21 AM

  6. Winter (Forestport):

    FLOOD ADVISORY
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
    400 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

    NYC023-053-065-067-109-311200-
    /O.NEW.KBGM.FA.Y.0004.130131T0900Z-130131T1200Z/
    /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
    CORTLAND NY-MADISON NY-ONONDAGA NY-TOMPKINS NY-ONEIDA NY-
    400 AM EST THU JAN 31 2013

    THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED AN

    • URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
    CORTLAND COUNTY... MADISON COUNTY... SOUTHERN ONEIDA COUNTY... SOUTHEASTERN ONONDAGA COUNTY... TOMPKINS COUNTY...
    • UNTIL 700 AM EST

    • AT 359 AM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN WAS FALLING...
    AND WILL RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING.

    • LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
    CORTLAND... ITHACA... MORRISVILLE AND TULLY.

    RAIN WILL CONTINUE HEAVY AT TIMES UNTIL AROUND 5 AM. RAINFALL TOTALS
    OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE MINOR FLOODING IN POOR
    DRAINAGE AREAS.

    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

    EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS ON
    SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN AREAS...
    HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR DRAINAGE
    AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

    &&

    LAT...LON 4320 7512 4273 7563 4272 7589 4251 7587 4241 7598 4241 7626 4238 7630 4236 7624 4231 7625 4232 7641 4230 7642 4229 7669 4242 7669 4263 7647 4262 7627 4279 7629 4320 7584

    $$

    MSE

    Posted January 31st at 4:31 AM

  7. Rob (Whitesboro):

    Temp is falling fast. Down to 42 here.

    Posted January 31st at 4:36 AM

  8. Nick (West Winfield,NY):

    wow- 38 degrees here and gusts to 44 mph.

    Posted January 31st at 5:05 AM

  9. Michael (Dolgeville):

    Good size ice jam on the East Canada Creek between Dolge Ave and Van Buren Streets. No flooding though.

    Posted January 31st at 5:14 AM

  10. Tom (Richfield Springs):

    Still 47 degrees here, wind has just picked up here in the last few minutes, so far only 0.8” of rain.

    Posted January 31st at 5:19 AM

  11. Denys (East Winfield):

    36 degrees, windy with heavy rain. I woke up and it was 42 degrees, 15 minutes later, 36….

    Posted January 31st at 5:22 AM

  12. Bill Kardas:

    Griffiss and Syracuse check in with less than an inch of rain. That should be enough to quell any concerns of widespread flooding this morning. The heavy rain with the front could create some ponding on the roadways.

    Posted January 31st at 5:41 AM

  13. weatherjan-Oneida (Oneida):

    On this date – 31 Jan. 1966 – we were in the midst of the Blizzard of ’66. During one three hr. period that morning I measured 18”. in Westernville. I measured approx. 60” over three days (30 Jan. – 1 Feb). Woods Valley was actually closed for three days due to too much snow.
    I recall thinking I would probably never see such a intense snow event and. so far, I haven’t.

    Posted January 31st at 5:58 AM

  14. Bill Kardas (WKTV):

    Minor power outages being reported across the area. Less than 500 regionwide.

    Posted January 31st at 6:17 AM

  15. Bill Kardas (WKTV):

    Rain has changed to snow (finally) on Smith Hill, but so far it’s not accumulating on the warm roadways. Our high of 58 yesterday means the ground will stay warm for a bit.

    Posted January 31st at 6:23 AM

  16. nugfin (Neil) (South Utica - Genesee St.):

    37* here with light rain showers and breezy. Have 0.83” in the gauge.

    Posted January 31st at 6:36 AM

  17. sue (fairfield):

    35* here…..62 for a peak gust just before 5am

    Posted January 31st at 6:51 AM

  18. Bill Kardas (WKTV):

    As anticipated, cold air continues to spill in from the west, but it will take another couple of hours before the mercury dips below 32 degrees. This is good news, because the delayed drop in temperature helps prevent a widespread ‘flash freeze’.

    Temperatures will still fall below freezing this afternoon, creating some slick spots, but only in areas of standing water. Most of this morning’s rain should evaporate or drain before freezing. If anything changes we’ll keep you posted.

    Posted January 31st at 7:55 AM

  19. MG (Point Rock):

    Getting a light snow here (snow pellets- just a dusting). 24 hr rainfall here is 1.71”. Snowpack is down to 3”. In Boonville, the ground is mostly bare. Temperature here is 33.

    Posted January 31st at 7:58 AM

  20. MG (Point Rock):

    A few days ago I posted about how low the January precipitation was — now I’ve had 2.97” in the last 4 days. So I take it back!

    Posted January 31st at 7:59 AM

  21. Gordon (Northwestern):

    Just got down to 32 degrees here. I picked up 1.77” of rain since yesterday morning. I also had .48” of rain on Tuesday. So I had 2.25” in the last 2 1/2 days. I still have 1” of snow cover, but I also see a lot of bare spots.

    Posted January 31st at 8:25 AM

  22. Bill Kardas (WKTV):

    The colder air is having an easier time moving in north of the valley. I blame less friction over Lake Ontario with that strong west wind. Slippery spots reported in the Old Forge/Inlet area. It still needs to drop several more degrees before I’d worry about widespread icing.

    Posted January 31st at 8:34 AM

  23. Bill Kardas (WKTV):

    The colder air is having an easier time moving in north of the valley. I blame less friction over Lake Ontario with that strong west wind. Slippery spots reported in the Old Forge/Inlet area. It still needs to drop several more degrees before I’d worry about widespread icing. (32 ain’t gonna cut it).

    Posted January 31st at 8:35 AM

  24. sue (fairfield):

    had a 69mph gust while waiting for the school bus….wow…temp down to 33

    Posted January 31st at 8:51 AM

  25. nugfin (Neil) (South Utica - Genesee St.):

    Just drove past Home Depot on French Rd. and there’s a line of signal lights down on the road.

    Posted January 31st at 9:29 AM

  26. Bill Kardas (WKTV):

    Finally approaching the freezing mark across the area. The roadways are mainly dry, but watch out for any leftover snow melt, as these patches could freeze over. Scattered snow showers have blossomed across the area as unstable air arrives from the west. About a trace – 2” of snow is possible, particularly in steady bands that linger along the hilltops. The main band has developed across the Tug Hill and will hang around up there until tonight.

    Posted January 31st at 10:15 AM

  27. sue (fairfield):

    wow…...almost hit 70 mph …..averaging in the 40’s now…temp down to 29…..has been light horizontal snow

    Posted January 31st at 10:26 AM

  28. sue (fairfield):

    71mph at 10:34….flakes got bigger and then disappeared

    Posted January 31st at 10:39 AM

  29. Rob (Whitesboro):

    Had a gust to 40mph recently. It’s 32 degrees here.

    Posted January 31st at 10:42 AM

  30. Mel (Westernville):

    NWS BGM is considering a LES Advisory for Southern Oneida – they are thinking that unlike the last event the bands may make it further inland this time. Been snowing here for a while and ground is almost white again.

    Posted January 31st at 11:04 AM

  31. MG (Point Rock):

    About a half-inch to an inch of snow in Boonville — not much, but it gets some pretty good white-outs going when the wind kicks up

    Posted January 31st at 11:12 AM

  32. Rob (Whitesboro):

    I wouldn’t be surprised if this band extends all the way to Albany. But it blasts through S. Oneida pretty quick. Should be intense but short-lived down this way.

    Posted January 31st at 11:23 AM

  33. Bill Kardas (WKTV):

    Rob – agree. It’s a matter of timing out the band in the valley and how fast it moves through.

    Posted January 31st at 11:29 AM

  34. Bill Kardas (WKTV):

    For snow lovers, too much wind can be a bad thing for lake effect. The strong winds are ripping apart the bands into multiple weaker ones. A steadier, less sheared wind would have produced a heavy band today instead of several weaker ones.

    Posted January 31st at 11:30 AM

  35. Rob (Whitesboro):

    Just had a big squall come through here with a 44mph gust. Dusting of snow on the ground.

    Posted January 31st at 11:57 AM

  36. Jeff H (Sherburne Hills):

    I have to say the wind is ferocious. I am beginning the think my stronger winds come in the winter without all the foliage toslow it down. I lost another very large tree last night ssecond this winter. I will put pics up later.

    Posted January 31st at 12:20 PM

  37. Bill Kardas (WKTV):

    Winds are still frequently gusting over 40mph this afternoon. It’s making a mess in areas that are seeing persistent snow from Boonville north. Take care on the roadways!

    Posted January 31st at 12:56 PM

  38. Rob (Whitesboro):

    4.0” in Montague so far. Big squall coming into Rome.

    Posted January 31st at 1:58 PM

  39. Nick (West Winfield,NY):

    Whole town is out of power…something happen to the lines down town..we are still out and it has been several several hours. Snowing mod here.

    Posted January 31st at 2:11 PM

  40. Rob (Whitesboro):

    My peak gust is 47mph. It’s been gusting over 40mph non stop here with squalls.

    Posted January 31st at 2:38 PM

  41. Mel (Westernville):

    Barnes Corner webcam shows a whiteout!

    Posted January 31st at 2:55 PM

  42. WKTV Weather Alert:

    NWS has issued a Lake Effect Snow Advisory for Madison & Southern Oneida Counties until 07:00 PM

    Posted January 31st at 3:00 PM

  43. Jill Reale (Utica):

    People are being evacuated near Fish Creek on Oneida Lake due to an ice jam.

    Posted January 31st at 3:12 PM

  44. Jill Reale (Utica):

    People are being evacuated near Fish Creek on Oneida Lake due to an ice jam.

    Posted January 31st at 3:12 PM

  45. Nick (West Winfield,NY):

    Yaaaaaay ..power back on…what a day at school with out poer

    Posted January 31st at 4:13 PM

  46. Adam Musyt:

    Band consolidation taking place across the North Country. We still expect the heavy lake snows over Northern Oneida and Southern Lewis Counties through this evening.

    After midnight the band will likely drop southward toward the Thruway corridor with a quick few inches of accumulation.

    Winds are still gusting to 40 miles per hour. Exercise caution while traveling again this evening and overnight!

    Posted January 31st at 5:17 PM

  47. Abominable (Whitesboro):

    Left for work about 8:45 this morning and had a big tree topple down across power lines about 50 yards in front of me as I headed up my side street onto Westmoreland Road. Hit the brakes big time! Abot 10 minutes later had a gust hit the side of my car so hard I thought it was going to flip me. Crazy out there. Got back home about 2:30 and sure enough, the power had gone out, probably with the tree that fell. It was already back on so not sure how long it was out. Unfortunately, it did something wacky to my modem and it took two hours and 5 techs to get my phone and internet back up. Crazy day.

    Posted January 31st at 5:40 PM

  48. Nick (West Winfield,NY):

    Had MONSTER flakes at 10pm. Amazing…Snowing light to mod here now,
    I got it on video.

    Posted January 31st at 10:10 PM

  49. SteveH (Tully):

    Wow the Lake Erie band over us here in Southern Onondaga county is fierce. Gusts to 50 mph and snowing heavily! I would not want to be on the roads now because visibility is pretty much zero.

    Posted January 31st at 10:14 PM

  50. Tony-CNYWeather.com (Westmo):

    That’s the Lake Erie band Nick. Nothing much here yet.

    Posted January 31st at 10:15 PM

  51. Rob (Whitesboro):

    Montague Inn is reporting 21.0” of snow.

    Posted January 31st at 10:24 PM

  52. Mike (Springfield Center ):

    Very windy here 30+ gusts and snowing very hard for past hour or so

    Posted January 31st at 10:26 PM

  53. Nick (West Winfield,NY):

    Yup..lake E… Band is insane.
    2.5 inches here already.!!

    Posted January 31st at 10:30 PM

  54. Nick:

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUe-BeIuMuY&feature=youtu.be

    Just topped my day off right here. :)
    Thanks Lake E. :)

    Posted January 31st at 11:12 PM

  55. Rob (Whitesboro):

    Trackside Blazers is reporting 14.0” of snow in Forestport and snowing at the rate of 4” per hour.

    Posted January 31st at 11:51 PM

  56. Rob (Whitesboro):

    This is a MONSTER band. Been getting reports of 5” an hour along the Oneida border. Redfield cam was frozen at midnight but showed 18” at that point.

    Posted February 1st at 2:35 AM

  57. Rob (Whitesboro):

    Looks like maybe 20-22” in Redfield for a total
    http://www.northernchateau.com/northernchateau.htm

    Posted February 1st at 3:53 AM

  58. Bill Kardas (WKTV):

    Band is weakening and swinging south fast. It will drop a quick couple of inches across Southern Oneida County throughout the morning before setting up show along the Oneida/Madison County line.

    Posted February 1st at 4:25 AM

  59. Bill Kardas (WKTV):

    16” of snow 5 miles north of Boonville. – report & picture from facebook.

    The band continues to weaken, but still displays narrow intense banding. It’s very difficult to make a forecast with something like that in play.

    Posted February 1st at 5:27 AM

  60. Denys (East Winfield):

    13 degrees….13 degrees?? brrrrr!!! 2” of new snow on the ground.

    Posted February 1st at 5:29 AM

  61. nugfin (Neil) (South Utica - Genesee St.):

    20* here with a very light dusting and some flurries falling.

    Posted February 1st at 6:47 AM

  62. Nick (West Winfield,NY):

    Well its funny that the Lake E. Band did better than the Lake O one did for me lol.
    15 degrees here.

    Posted February 1st at 6:54 AM

  63. Winter (Forestport):

    ...16°... 3.5 inches of “...s“NO“w…”

    Posted February 1st at 7:06 AM

  64. Tom (Richfield Springs):

    17 degrees, windy yet, snowing lightly here again, 3.1” so far.

    Posted February 1st at 7:28 AM

  65. nugfin (Neil) (South Utica - Genesee St.):

    Getting some moderate snow here now.

    Posted February 1st at 7:33 AM

  66. NY Skier (Utica):

    Can anyone tell me how to find observer snow reports for Tug Hill? I can find stuff from NWS Albany for totals in that area, but not for Montague area. Just interesting to see totals after events to compare with what the radar was showing.

    Thanks,
    Josh

    Posted February 1st at 7:55 AM

  67. Art (Oriskany Falls):

    ANOTHER QUESTION FOR BILL KARDAS
    The night before last, time was 0030 hr. I was in bed and heard strange noises. The wind was blowing wicked. Got out of bed and went to the end of the driveway to check out trash cans. On the way back to the house there was big wet Snowflakes falling with the light rain. The temp. was 51* at the time.
    How could this be or do you think I was seeing things????? :-) The temp. was 16* early this morning and we have a total of 1 inch of snow from last night and this morning.
    PS What I heard was I think a big tree limb had fallen for my neighbor’s tree across the road.

    Posted February 1st at 8:08 AM

  68. Bill Kardas (WKTV):

    A band of heavy snow passed across Smith hill between 7:40-8:00am. It was brief but enough to drop a quick 1/2” in 20 minutes.

    Posted February 1st at 8:10 AM

  69. Bill Kardas (WKTV):

    Josh – Tug Hill observers are hard to find -there’s less population density in that area. There’s a pretty reliable spotter in Redfield that keeps in touch with the NWS. We have several spotters on the SE end of the Tug. Another spot you can check is http://www.cocorahs.org/

    Posted February 1st at 8:16 AM

  70. Bill Kardas (WKTV):

    Art – The only thing I could think of would be melted hail…it would have to be raining really hard for that to occur, likely with thunder too.

    Posted February 1st at 8:18 AM

  71. Chris (HP Weather) (Holland Patent):

    I am reporting 5 inches of new snow from the snow bands. All snow fell between 4 n 6:30am this morning. Roads were not plowed in most spots. Bill I hit that snow band on glass factory rd in Marcy and it was intense. There was snow showers around my area when I left so maybe more accumulations by the time I get home this afternoon.

    Posted February 1st at 8:25 AM

  72. Rob (Whitesboro):

    Just measured 1.2” here. Sun is peeking through now.

    Posted February 1st at 8:31 AM

  73. nugfin (Neil):

    1.5” here since 6:30 this morning.

    Posted February 1st at 8:38 AM

  74. MG (Point Rock):

    It wasn’t snowing here at 11PM, and it was only flurrying at 6AM, but in between I picked up 11.5”. It must have been coming down at an impressive rate sometime overnight.

    Posted February 1st at 8:58 AM

  75. Nick (West Winfield,NY):

    Snowing heavy here at 9:20. :)

    Posted February 1st at 9:24 AM

  76. Tom (Richfield Springs):

    Snowing heavy here also.

    Posted February 1st at 10:04 AM

  77. Mrboom (Canastota):

    Will the Snow bands stay to the south of us today? or will then shift back north hitting utica and cuse?

    Posted February 1st at 10:10 AM

  78. Bill Kardas (WKTV):

    The band stays south for the day, eventually shifting back north tonight. It’s return will not be nearly as impressive as this morning.

    Posted February 1st at 10:23 AM

  79. Art (Oriskany Falls):

    So far this morning we got another 1.75 inches of new snow, that’s not counting the 1 inch of snow that was already here this morning.
    Bill, When I heard noises I was wondering if maybe I had heard thunder. Something woke me up anyway.
    The wet show was probably melted hail from far above just as you mentioned.

    Posted February 1st at 10:35 AM

  80. MG (Point Rock):

    There’s a lake-effect snow watch for Lewis county for tonight and tomorrow — is the and supposed to re-intensify as it moves north?

    Posted February 1st at 10:39 AM

  81. madmax (Turin):

    Hard to believe but when I left work there was hard any snow on the ground. When came home last night we had 11” on the ground.

    Posted February 1st at 11:02 AM

  82. Bill Kardas (WKTV):

    81- after the band passes north of the valley, it will intensify again due to a better fetch over Lake Ontario.

    Posted February 1st at 11:47 AM

  83. Bill Kardas (WKTV):

    According to the 12z NAM BUFKIT data, lake showers remain in place for the remainder of the day and start to shift back north after midnight. The abrupt wind shift should really prevent any one place from getting buried in snow. The wind field shifts southwest Saturday keeping the bands across the northern Tug.

    Posted February 1st at 11:55 AM

  84. Jimmy (New Hartford):

    Had a quick 1.5” this morning.

    Posted February 1st at 3:09 PM

  85. Rob (Whitesboro):

    Here comes round #2. Flow already backing to 290/300 flow with lake band incoming.

    Posted February 1st at 3:38 PM

  86. Lori (Bridgeport):

    its been dumping here for almost an hr

    Posted February 1st at 4:23 PM

  87. WKTV Weather Alert:

    NWS has issued a Lake Effect Snow Warning for Northern Oneida County until 02:00 AM

    Posted February 1st at 4:45 PM

  88. Jill Reale (Utica):

    Snowfall forecast through Saturday morning:

    http://wktv.bimedia.net/snowfall.jpg

    Posted February 1st at 5:06 PM

  89. Brian (Lairdsville):

    Snow has picked up in intensity the last 20 minutes. 16 degrees.

    Posted February 1st at 5:09 PM

  90. Rob (Whitesboro):

    Moderate snow here. Radar not doing a great job on intensity.

    Posted February 1st at 5:19 PM

  91. Jill Reale (Utica):

    Light snow on Smith Hill.

    Posted February 1st at 6:19 PM

  92. Rob (Whitesboro):

    This band should start to crank now. It’s making a Huron connection. Just light snow here right now.

    Posted February 1st at 6:31 PM

  93. MG (Point Rock):

    Had some heavy snow in the 5-6:30 timeframe, but now it’s lightened up. About 2”.

    Posted February 1st at 6:58 PM

  94. Rob (Whitesboro):

    I have another 1.2” here since 5PM.

    Posted February 1st at 7:22 PM

  95. Tim (Salisbury):

    Snowing heavy here in Salisbury. Received at least 4’‘ in the last 4 hrs.

    Posted February 1st at 9:33 PM

  96. Rob (Whitesboro):

    2.0” here this evening. Hasn’t been doing anything for the last hour. Syracuse is getting hit hard.

    Posted February 1st at 9:45 PM

  97. Jimmy (New Hartford):

    An even 2” here as well, just some flurries now.

    Posted February 1st at 10:00 PM

  98. nugfin (Neil) (South Utica - Genesee St.):

    2” here as well

    Posted February 1st at 11:12 PM

  99. Tom (Richfield Springs):

    6 degrees, calm, partly cloudy, 3.2” snow since this time yesterday.

    Posted February 2nd at 5:03 AM

  100. Tom (Richfield Springs):

    Happy GroundHogs day!

    Posted February 2nd at 5:04 AM

  101. Denys (East Winfield):

    6 degrees, calm and partly cloudy here too. 4.2” of new snow….will the groundhog see his shadow? I say yes because we never have an early spring! :(

    Posted February 2nd at 5:15 AM

  102. Denys (East Winfield):

    6 degrees, calm and partly cloudy here too. 4.2” of new snow….will the groundhog see his shadow? I say yes because we never have an early spring! :(

    Sorry….couldn’t resist some “Groundhog Day” movie humor…. :)

    Posted February 2nd at 5:17 AM

  103. Jill Reale (Utica):

    Good morning! Outside of some very light snow across the Tug, weather looks quiet today with a few flurries.

    Denys…I feel like he always sees his shadow now with all the flashbulbs going off :)

    Posted February 2nd at 6:07 AM

  104. Lori (Bridgeport):

    Whether he does or doesn’t see his shadow…its still 6 weeks til spring !!!.... Yeah.!

    Posted February 2nd at 6:35 AM

  105. Nick (West Winfield,NY):

    4 inches from yesterday morning (some of that wind took it and some settled) Snow that we got last night must have been huge flakes.:/ and I fell asleep. Fluffy snow from last night. Way over 30:1 I bet.

    Posted February 2nd at 7:54 AM

  106. WKTV Weather Alert:

    NWS has issued a Lake Effect Snow Watch for Madison, Northern Oneida & Southern Oneida Counties until 07:00 AM

    Posted February 2nd at 3:20 PM

  107. Nick (West Winfield,NY):

    Looks like a possible GB connection Sunday night..
    Waiting for MM5- 12z to come out. Its a good model this far out but it takes forever to load…

    Posted February 2nd at 4:20 PM

  108. Denys (East Winfield):

    0 degrees, ‘nuff said…..oh and it’s clear and calm.

    Posted February 3rd at 5:30 AM

  109. Tom (Richfield Springs):

    1 degree, clear, calm, cold with only a trace of new snow last night.
    Snow totals; Week=8.9” January=13.9”
    Winter so far =49.0”

    Posted February 3rd at 6:54 AM

  110. Jill Reale (Utica):

    Good morning! With clear skies overnight, temperatures dropped into the single digits…brrrr!

    LES along the Thruway and points south tonight into Monday. The heaviest snow looks to form just south of Utica, from Syracuse into Madison and Otsego Counties.

    Posted February 3rd at 7:14 AM

  111. Nick (West Winfield,NY):

    It would be really cool if we both connected with lake H. and GB. :) Looks fun..Finially. :)
    Im at 0 degrees here.

    Posted February 3rd at 7:48 AM

  112. Rob (Whitesboro):

    Seasonal total here is 52.6”

    Posted February 3rd at 8:15 AM

  113. nugfin (Neil) (South Utica - Genesee St.):

    Low of 6* here this morning.

    Seasonal Total: 50.2”

    Looks like a snowy week ahead with a possible coastal low developing by end of week.

    Posted February 3rd at 8:20 AM

  114. Rocino (N.Marcy):

    Ended up with 4” Friday/Friday night, season total 65.9” up here on the hill…... Hoping we get a good thumping tonight/tomorrow from LO

    Posted February 3rd at 1:08 PM

  115. Nick (West Winfield,NY):

    Looks like on 12z some good omega values this afternoon (UVM, upward motion, lifting) with the shortwave…interesting, could be some nice size flakes. :)
    I wish MM5 would load….BUFKIT has the band starting north but shifting south by early early monday morning, sitting at a 290-295 degree flow for a good length of time.

    Posted February 3rd at 1:28 PM

  116. WKTV Weather Alert:

    NWS has issued a Lake Effect Snow Advisory for Otsego County until 07:00 AM

    Posted February 3rd at 1:55 PM

  117. Jeff H (Sherburne Hills):

    I just don’t see the LES setup….maybe I am looking at the wrong maps. Any chance it gets below the Route 20 corridor or am I gonna be just south of it again?

    Posted February 3rd at 3:03 PM

  118. Nick (West Winfield,NY):

    Connection should help….
    EQLs around 10,000 ft, LICAPE around 400-500 on BUFKIT. WRF prob. underdoing the QPF..imo.

    Posted February 3rd at 3:23 PM

  119. Matt (Rochester):

    And I’m driving from Utica to Rochester tomorrow morning… Hurray!

    Posted February 3rd at 3:28 PM

  120. Tony-CNYWeather.com (Westmo):

    Seasonal snowfall total 46.0”

    Posted February 3rd at 3:38 PM

  121. Jeff H (Sherburne Hills):

    Weekly Snowfall- 3.4”
    Seasonal Snowfall- 59.1”

    Well at least we got more then last year!

    Posted February 3rd at 3:55 PM

  122. Mel (Westernville):

    Looks like LES will be south of here again. 65.5” for the season.

    Posted February 3rd at 5:39 PM

  123. Jill Reale (Utica):

    Here she is:

    http://wktv.bimedia.net/snowfall.jpg

    Posted February 3rd at 5:48 PM

  124. Jill Reale (Utica):

    Mel,

    You will see some snow tonight before the band shifts south tomorrow morning.

    Posted February 3rd at 5:50 PM

  125. Nick (West Winfield,NY):

    Love your map Jill!!! :)

    And hey MM5 came out…Fiiiinallly. Ive been waiting all day.
    Thing is a beast-
    http://www.stanford.edu/~tenhoeve/weather/12zMM53hrPrecip.htm
    imo- waaaaaay better than WRF.

    Posted February 3rd at 5:54 PM

  126. Rob (Whitesboro):

    Looks like the MM5 keeps keeps the flow at 280/290 for the entire event. This would be a big hit for Utica/Rome.

    Posted February 3rd at 6:16 PM

  127. Jeff H (Sherburne Hills):

    Hmmm…for some reason I can not open the snowfall map…..

    Posted February 3rd at 6:58 PM

  128. Mel (Westernville):

    Yeah 280-290 definitely helps Rome area. 285 is perfect for up this way.

    Posted February 3rd at 7:29 PM

  129. Nick (West Winfield,NY):

    BUFKIt, 18z NAM has it stitting a a 290-295 still Monday morning, in to the afternoon before moving back north.

    Posted February 3rd at 7:56 PM

  130. Nick (West Winfield,NY):

    Then the inversion falls and dry aloft moves in by Monday night, band gets closer to the lake and weakens, thats 18z NAM bufkit.

    Posted February 3rd at 8:00 PM

  131. MG (Point Rock):

    As usual, the WKTV map is more conservative than NWS Binghamton’s. It seems that almost always, the more conservative version verifies. This past Thursday night was an exception, though.
    Season total now 100.9”, more than all of last year, and just a little below normal for the date. With the thaws we’ve had, it looks like we’re way below normal.

    Posted February 3rd at 8:11 PM

  132. Rocino (N.Marcy):

    Nick,

    The link you posted I cannot get to work. Can you repost

    Posted February 3rd at 8:16 PM

  133. Nick (West Winfield,NY):

    Here you go Rocino-
    http://www.stanford.edu/~tenhoeve/weather/12zMM53hrPrecip.htm

    Posted February 3rd at 8:42 PM

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