Weekend Outlook

Posted June 12th, 2009 by Adam Musyt. 25 comments

Impressive rainfall totals were recorded yesterday with many locations seeing between 2" and 3" of rain in a 36-hour period.  It looks like we'll get a bit of a chance to dry out as we go through the overnight and into the first half of Saturday.  Because of the recent rains, and with near calm winds expected overnight, some locally dense fog is possible into early Saturday.

Saturday will start with some sun (aside from the patchy fog).  But as a wave of low pressure tracks toward New York during the day, we'll see sunshine give way to cloudiness.  Much of the day should be dry, but some rain is a pretty safe bet by evening and into the first part of Saturday Night.  Temperatures should be close to average over the weekend, 70's by day and 50's at night.

The storm system will depart on Sunday and we'll likely see some breaks of sun.  Some lingering instability could lead to a pop-up shower or t-storm Sunday afternoon, so the umbrellas may again come in handy.

The weather pattern looks to stay unsettled into early next week with another in a series of fronts expected to drop in for Monday with the chance for a new round of showers and thunderstorms.  Summer heat and humidity are bound to arrive soon, but it looks like we're going to have to play the waiting game for a little longer.
 

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  1. Matt S. (Deerfield):

    Thunder here in Deerfield, and getting quite dark.

    Posted June 13th at 5:10 PM

  2. Jill Reale (Utica):

    Same here on Smith Hill, a nice cell developing and heading into central Herkimer county.

    Posted June 13th at 5:20 PM

  3. Mike(Leonardsville):

    Rain one day and then again the next. Is this the repeat of 2006?

    Posted June 13th at 5:27 PM

  4. Matt S. (Deerfield):

    I hope we get some nice weather for the summer, i’m getting sick of all the rain, althought its doing wonders for the corn fields that i’ve seen so far.

    Posted June 13th at 5:34 PM

  5. Jill Reale (Utica):

    BULLETIN – EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
    SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
    1139 AM EDT MON JUN 15 2009

    THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A

    • SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
    SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON COUNTY IN EASTERN NEW YORK... NORTHEASTERN FULTON COUNTY IN EASTERN NEW YORK...

    • UNTIL 1245 PM EDT

    • AT 1136 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
    SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES WEST OF NORTHVILLE...OR 13 MILES NORTH OF GLOVERSVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

    • THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
    6 MILES NORTH OF CRANBERRY CREEK BY 1225 PM EDT... NORTHVILLE AND NORTHAMPTON BEACH PUBLIC CAMPGROUND BY 1240 PM

    Posted June 15th at 11:43 AM

  6. Mel (Westernville):

    Big Thunderheads just North of here – house just shook.

    Posted June 15th at 2:08 PM

  7. Rob (Whitesboro):

    Yeah there growing to the south of me here too. I had full sunshine for about an hour but not anymore. Good set-up for some hail storms. I noticed a few Warnings for penny hail. I thought they changed it to an inch or better?

    Posted June 15th at 2:16 PM

  8. Jill Reale (Utica):

    Daytime heating is starting to help storms pop up across the area. Rob: The new warnings are for 1” size hail, the storm in Hamilton Co/Fulton Co was reporting 1” hail at one point. Looks like the best chance for thunderstorms will be north of Utica but as you can see by the radar, an isolated storm cant be ruled out anywhere

    Posted June 15th at 2:23 PM

  9. Mel (Westernville):

    Serious hail now – uploading pics shortly.

    Posted June 15th at 2:38 PM

  10. Rob (Whitesboro):

    I was just going to ask you. NEXRAD has inch hail up your way. Radar estimates are probably pretty close today with the cold pool of air aloft.

    Posted June 15th at 2:39 PM

  11. Rob (Whitesboro):

    Another thing is that these tops are pretty decent. Some are at 30 thousand feet. Usually these are low topped storms. I hope we get some down this way. Surprised there is no warning with that one.

    Posted June 15th at 2:44 PM

  12. Mel (Westernville):

    E-mailed pics to weather@wktv address. Still getting small hail every now and then but the sun is trying to come back out.

    Posted June 15th at 2:58 PM

  13. Mel (Westernville):

    Just checked the gauge and that storm dumped .60” of rain. Lots of piles of hail where it accumulated in the shady spots off the roof.

    Posted June 15th at 4:00 PM

  14. Adam Musyt:

    SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
    401 PM EDT MON JUN 15 2009

    THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A

    • SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
    NORTH CENTRAL DELAWARE COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW YORK... SOUTH CENTRAL OTSEGO COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW YORK...

    • UNTIL 500 PM EDT

    • AT 400 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
    SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LAURENS...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

    • THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
    WEST END BY 415 PM EDT... ONEONTA BY 425 PM EDT... EMMONS AND COLLIERSVILLE BY 430 PM EDT... 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF COOPERSTOWN JCT BY 435 PM EDT... MERIDALE...MEREDITH...EAST MEREDITH AND 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DAVENPORT BY 455 PM EDT... 6 MILES NORTH OF DELHI BY 500 PM EDT...

    PLEASE REPORT HAIL...OR DAMAGING WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
    SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772…OR BY EMAIL AT
    BGM.STORMREPORTNOAA.GOV.

    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

    IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND STAY
    AWAY FROM WINDOWS!

    Posted June 15th at 4:07 PM

  15. sn (forestport):

    had some small hail up this way at about 4pm. didn’t last that long but definatly got a good downpour with that storm. had do shut the computer down because we had a couple of close hits (lightening wise). I’m pretty sure lightening hit a tree somewhere in the yard but i’ve yet to figure that out, but whatever it hit it was too close for comfort.

    Posted June 15th at 4:40 PM

  16. Jill Reale (Utica):

    A few interesting things to point out this morning: This day last year, we had a widespread severe outbreak with 16 severe thunderstorm warnings, many due to hail. Hail reported in Utica of quarter size. Richfield Spring had hail up to ping pong size! Another note, we hit 90 degrees 4 times during the month of June 2008.

    Posted June 16th at 5:36 AM

  17. Jeff H (Sherburne Hills):

    Ok, it appears from what I am looking at that it is going to be pretty much an ugly end of the week. The NAM shows that maybe Late friday, and Saturday might be ok. The GFS shows rain pretty much everyday. Any insights as too what at least Saturday might do.

    Posted June 16th at 3:17 PM

  18. deb in hartwick:

    Cooperstown Graduation on Sunday at the Fenimore Art Museum ..on the lawn…
    A washout?????

    Posted June 17th at 8:07 AM

  19. Jill Reale:

    Deb:
    As of right now, it doesn’t look like a washout, just scattered showers. The best chance for rain over the weekend looks to be on Saturday.

    Posted June 17th at 9:14 AM

  20. Matt:

    Hey Guys,

    I was suppose to be going camping this weekend in the Inlet area. Are we looking at more rain the farther north we go of Utica, and it being a complete washout. I heard earlier in the week that this front if it didn’t push north far enough it was going to be wet.

    Posted June 17th at 6:36 PM

  21. Matt S. (Deerfield):

    Whats the weather looking like for June 29th through July 5th? Is it too early to tell?

    Posted June 17th at 8:54 PM

  22. Rob (Whitesboro):

    There’s a ton of severe weather on the map tonight. SPC has 11 watch boxes up and running. Looks like we can get in on the action Friday evening if that warm front lifts a bit further north.

    Posted June 17th at 9:09 PM

  23. Adam Musyt:

    Matt,

    Looks like Saturday will be worse than Sunday, based on the latest run of the WRF. Steadier rain should develop into the afternoon. Sunday’s rains should be more sporadic and we’ll keep our fingers crossed for some breaks of sun.

    Matt S.,

    Considering the pattern we’ve been in, it’s tough to say with any sense of certainty what the weather will bring for 4th of July weekend.

    Posted June 17th at 10:55 PM

  24. Jill Reale (Utica):

    New entry is up

    Posted June 18th at 9:53 AM

  25. CINDY COHEN:

    Could you please help me to find out if the weather report on wktv reported a flood and possible wind burst on last nights news on June 24, 2009.

    Posted June 25th at 10:59 AM

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