Tricky storm forecast less than 24 hours out...

Posted February 7th, 2013 by Bill Kardas. 168 comments

Rapid developments over the past 48 hours in the forecasting world all thanks to a complex snowfall unfolding on Friday.  Here are some of the latest details -

-Steady light snow begins after dark, a trace to 2" of accumulation by 7am Friday morning
-Light to moderate snow through the early afternoon as a coastal low approaches
-Heaviest snow falls Friday evening, especially east of Utica
-Blustry conditions & blowing snow Saturday

This setup involves two storm systems.  A land locked low pressure center will arrive from the west tonight, bringing light snow to the area.  Late Friday, a coastal low approaches, and combines energy with the earlier low.  The energy transfor will bring a shot of energy to the coastal low, allowing for strong winds and heavy snow to fall in New England.

It's becoming clearer now that the coastal low will be the dominant storm.  The track of the low is very important in spelling out which area in the Northeast gets hit the hardest.  As of Thursday morning, somewhere between Albany and Boston will take the brunt of the accumulation.  We are on the outside of the heavy bands, but should squeeze out at least several inches.  Be sure to check out the latest snowfall maps posted in the comments section.

The toughest part of the forecast is the track of the coastal storm.  A close approach as seen on the NAM would bring nearly a foot of snow to the area.  The farther eastern track of the GFS and EURO robs CNY of heavy snow...with totals much closer to 6".  We'll keep fine tuning the forecast, as we've seen plenty of changes even this close to the event.

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  1. my3sons (rome):

    Why is there such a big difference in snowfall amounts between wktv, wixt & the weather channel for our area?

    Posted February 7th at 12:51 PM

  2. my3sons (rome):

    Why is there such a big difference in snowfall amounts between wktv, wixt & the weather channel for our area?

    Posted February 7th at 12:51 PM

  3. my3sons (rome):

    Why is there such a big difference in snowfall amounts between wktv, wixt & the weather channel for our area?

    Posted February 7th at 12:51 PM

  4. my3sons (rome):

    Why is there such a big difference in snowfall amounts between wktv, wixt & the weather channel for our area?

    Posted February 7th at 12:51 PM

  5. Justin (North Utica):

    each station has their own in-house models they use.

    Posted February 7th at 2:00 PM

  6. Nick (West Winfield,NY):

    Track of the system is still somethat unknown.
    2 models, the GFS and the NAM are both very different.
    A western more track would give us more snow, eastern- less snowfall. How these systems phase, when, can most likily impact that making it a hard forecast, and thats why different #s, each Met. has a different out look.
    Say the NAM- It can over do QPF amounts.
    GFS is lower Res.
    All this adds up to a super hard time to forecast snowfall amounts.
    That not even including ratios. lol

    Posted February 7th at 3:12 PM

  7. Jeff H (Sherburne Hills):

    Looks like someone still believes in a major impact….NOAA puts up warnings, updated snowfall showing higher amounts (in line with previous amounts before the noon swing). I see that Central and Eastern Mass is really gonna get clobbered.

    Posted February 7th at 3:14 PM

  8. WKTV Weather Alert:

    NWS has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Hamilton, Montgomery, Northern Fulton, Northern Herkimer, Schoharie, Southern Fulton & Southern Herkimer Counties until 12:00 PM

    Posted February 7th at 3:40 PM

  9. Robert (Rome):

    1800 run of Nam looks like the storm is now farther east then earlier. More in line with GFS and EURO. Hope I am reading it right. LOL :)

    Posted February 7th at 3:42 PM

  10. Adam Musyt:

    18z NAM is indeed farther east and more in line with this morning’s 12z GFS model run. We had a feeling this might happen. NAM model is notoriously “bouncy” while GFS trends tend to happen more slowly.

    The new NAM shows 6 to 7 tenths of liquid equivalent for our area with the heaviest snow in the afternoon and evening…and the heaviest precip of all to our east. That’s in line with current thinking and meshes well with our current numbers.

    We’ll see what the 18z incarnation of the GFS brings. The 12z run gave us just about a half inch of total liquid equivalent.

    Posted February 7th at 3:51 PM

  11. Adam Musyt:

    18z GFS grid interpolations just trickling in. The model lines up well with c urrent thinking. Light snow late tonight and tomorrow. Snow intensifies in the afternoon with 0.15” liquid equivalent between 1 PM and 7 PM….and then another quarter inch of liquid (implying some heavy snow) during the evening between 7 PM and 1 AM Saturday.

    Model total QPF (quantitative precipitation forecast) is 0.52”...so our current forecast remains in tact with good agreement between the 18z NAM and 18z GFS (and most of the SREFS).

    Posted February 7th at 4:48 PM

  12. Cindy (Ilion):

    I just have to say how wrong it is that some place like the weather channel is still predicting that we are in the 12-16” range. I just can’t figure this out. I think it is so wrong. How can they put this out there.

    Posted February 7th at 6:50 PM

  13. sue (fairfield):

    Cindy, just think of the weather channel as entertainment…..after all they name the storms….not the national weather service ; )

    Posted February 7th at 7:13 PM

  14. Matt (Rochester):

    A lot of discrepancies can also come from what different agency’s think the Snow to Water ratio is. Although with just over .50 inches of water to get 24:1 ratios to make 12 would be impressive.

    Posted February 7th at 7:41 PM

  15. Matt (Rochester):

    Light-Moderate Snow at times here already.

    Posted February 7th at 9:13 PM

  16. Adam Musyt:

    00z NAM has 6 tenths of an inch of liquid equivalent. That’s just about in line with the 18z run.

    Posted February 7th at 9:17 PM

  17. Nick (West Winfield,NY):

    I saw 0z NAM also had a pretty big gradient in QPF....awww sooooo close.
    I hope we can get in some nice banding and some of the heavyer stuff..sooo close.

    Posted February 7th at 9:30 PM

  18. Nick (West Winfield,NY):

    Plus 0z NAM Hi res sim radar shows banding southeast of the utica area…which could def. increase QPF amounts.
    Im still excited for this system. :)
    http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/NAMSFC4_0z/rad31.html

    Posted February 7th at 10:42 PM

  19. Adam Musyt:

    GFS just came in with 0.57.” Light snow in the morning and heavier snow in the late afternoon and evening. Bottom line is that the forecast stays largely in tact. There’s been excellent run to run consistency on the 12z, 18z and 00z GFS and on the NAM too after it came on board at 18z.

    We’ll add the eastern half of Otsego to the 9”-12” tier and put Old Forge back into the lower range based on the latest trends. Still, 90 percent of our population is looking at the same forecast as earlier today.

    Posted February 7th at 10:51 PM

  20. Rocino (N.Marcy):

    Light snow started about 10 min ago here

    Posted February 7th at 11:37 PM

  21. Tom (Richfield Springs):

    17 degrees, light wind, just very light snow falling in the last hour or two, just a dusting on the ground so far.

    Posted February 8th at 5:10 AM

  22. Bill Kardas (WKTV):

    Timing of the heavy precipitation today looks to be between 4-7pm tonight.

    Posted February 8th at 5:39 AM

  23. Lori (Bridgeport):

    my temp dropped down to 23 degrees and Houston ….it has started to snow !

    Posted February 8th at 7:21 AM

  24. Bill Kardas (WKTV):

    Light snow is filling in along and north of the NYS Thruway. This will continue through the early afternoon. Areas south of the valley will stay relatively quiet until the coastal low approaches.

    06z models have once again diverged in thinking, reverting back to the 12z ideas from yesterday. The 06z runs tend to be less reliable than their 00z counterparts, so we’ll keep the general nuts and bolts of the forecast in place.

    Posted February 8th at 7:47 AM

  25. Lori (Bridgeport):

    not really snowing lightly here..snowing and blowing pretty good ….enough so that my white abyss of a lake is back.

    Posted February 8th at 7:55 AM

  26. sue (fairfield):

    still have a nasty east wind…..is it going to eventually change to coming from the west once the storm is here…...and will the winds continue to be strong?

    Posted February 8th at 7:58 AM

  27. sue (fairfield):

    getting some flurries up here now….just a slight dusting overnight temp is 21

    Posted February 8th at 8:11 AM

  28. Jim (Whitesboro) (Whitesboro):

    Bill, When you say “reverting back tot he 12z ideas” are you referring to when the NAM showed it coming farther west yesterday?

    For everyone else: Watch out for drifts near fields and open spaces. Ran into a few in the WhitestownWestmoreland area on my way to Thruway. There were even some on the Thruway on/off ramps. The Thruway for the most part was in good shape between Westmoreland exit and the first ‘Cuse exit. between 7am and 7:40. I481 in Syracuse was not great, and the downtown streets are pretty much covered at this point. To be honest conditions were worse than I expected. Good luck to all!

    Posted February 8th at 8:15 AM

  29. Bill Kardas (WKTV):

    Alright folks, we are not into the realm of nowcasting. Our important focus will be on the following:

    1) GROUND REPORTS*** we need them to give folks an idea on an hourly basis. Please continue to post updates here – it helps us out tremendously!

    2) Surface maps – we’ll track the center and pressure drop of the coastal low to see if it lines up with the computer models or is different. This will clue us in on any last minute trends.

    3) Model updates – the 12z runs are big today for any last minute changes to the forecast (if any are needed).

    Posted February 8th at 8:19 AM

  30. Bill Kardas (WKTV):

    12z NAM is in…consistent with the previous 18z & 00z runs. It is slightly wetter than the previous runs, about 0.7” – which makes sense as it showcases more backlash snowfall tonight. This makes sense from a textbook standard. Figuring a 10:1 ratio would draw an average of 7”. Waiting for the GFS...

    Posted February 8th at 10:17 AM

  31. Bill Kardas (WKTV):

    Not surprisingly, we are noticing a slightly deeper observed pressure already with the coastal storm compared to the models. Pressure down to 994mb according to SPC meso analysis page. The position of the low at the present moment looks pretty close to the 12z NAM track.

    This observation is not enough to change the forecast in our region – it could mean more snow for interior New England though.

    Posted February 8th at 10:25 AM

  32. Rob (Whitesboro):

    Buoy 64 miles NW of Virginia Beach is down to 991mb at 11AM

    Posted February 8th at 11:16 AM

  33. Tony-CNYWeather.com (Westmo):

    Not even a flurry here in NH right now. I wanted to leave early today.

    Posted February 8th at 11:26 AM

  34. Mel (Westernville):

    Been snowing here all morning but not a lot of accumulation with all the wind.

    Posted February 8th at 11:28 AM

  35. Bill Kardas (WKTV):

    12z GFS continues to stay steady eddy here. Just under 0.5” of liquid. We’ll keep what we have for the noon show. The snowfall forecast all depends on the back end of this event.

    Posted February 8th at 11:29 AM

  36. Rob (Whitesboro):

    Radar has been showing snow here all morning but nothing here either. Faint dusting around daybreak.

    Posted February 8th at 11:51 AM

  37. CJ (Little Falls):

    No snow here so far either. There was a dusting when I woke up this morning.

    Posted February 8th at 12:03 PM

  38. Mel (Westernville):

    Snow picked up in intensity about 10 minutes ago – visibility less than 3/4 of a mile now.

    Posted February 8th at 12:15 PM

  39. Lori (Bridgeport):

    was at a lull here with just light snow for a bit now gotten heavier with big flakes and windy …plows have been out …

    Posted February 8th at 12:27 PM

  40. Bill Kardas (WKTV):

    Finally seeing some action in parts of the area.: the snow is starting to fill in north & west of Utica as the western low approaches.

    Posted February 8th at 12:31 PM

  41. MG (Point Rock):

    I’ve had steady snow most of the morning, getting a little heavier now. About 2 to 2.5” at this point.

    Posted February 8th at 12:33 PM

  42. Rob (Whitesboro):

    Humidity here is 75%. Can’t believe nothing is reaching the ground at my house.

    Posted February 8th at 1:13 PM

  43. CJ (Little Falls):

    Still nothing here (and it doesn’t look to be starting anytime soon according to the radar!). It looks to snowing everywhere around us.

    Posted February 8th at 1:50 PM

  44. nugfin (Neil) (South Utica - Genesee St.):

    Out at work on the west side of Oneida (Wampsville) and it has been snowing lightly since about 11:30. Hasn’t really amounted to much, but it’s getting blown around pretty good by gusty winds.

    Posted February 8th at 1:54 PM

  45. Mel (Westernville):

    2” here so far.

    Posted February 8th at 1:58 PM

  46. Clifford (Garrattsville, Otsego):

    Flurry activity in the hills above Garrattsville, NY Otsego county

    Posted February 8th at 2:02 PM

  47. Weatherdog (Utica - UC Hill - 500 ft. elv.):

    Windy with light snow showers, 31*, and no new snow on the ground.

    Posted February 8th at 2:03 PM

  48. Jan (Boonville):

    Are you still thinking the heavier snow will start here around 4?

    Posted February 8th at 2:51 PM

  49. sbcotton112 (whitesboro):

    just startin too snow in whitesboro.

    Posted February 8th at 3:05 PM

  50. Nick (West Winfield,NY):

    Snowing here..

    Posted February 8th at 3:08 PM

  51. Jill Reale (Utica):

    Light snow has begun in Utica as well. Remember, keep us posted on snowfall/intensity over the next several hours!

    Posted February 8th at 3:21 PM

  52. Rob (Whitesboro):

    Very few flurries here. I’ve had moderate snow on radar all day over my house.

    Posted February 8th at 3:21 PM

  53. Matt (Rochester):

    Been snowing here all day. 4 inches, probably more though.

    Posted February 8th at 3:24 PM

  54. Jeff H (Sherburne Hills):

    Snowfall has begun down here as well, I am at work and will keep you advised best I can!

    Posted February 8th at 3:28 PM

  55. sue (fairfield):

    light steady snow here for last 30 min

    Posted February 8th at 3:32 PM

  56. Lori (Bridgeport):

    getting quite a bit more blustery ….somewhere between 2-4 inches …hard to measure with the wind.

    Posted February 8th at 3:34 PM

  57. Adam Musyt:

    Precipitation is filling in fast with the energy transfer from the continental to coastal low taking place.

    In fact, you can see this process unfolding rather well here:

    Radar Loop

    Snow has picked up in Syracuse with visibility down to 3/4 of a mile and heavy snow is occurring in Rochester with visibility down to just 1/4 of a mile.

    Expect the snows to pick up considerably over the next one to two hours for the vast majority of CNY.

    Posted February 8th at 3:35 PM

  58. Brian (Lairdsville):

    Steady flurries for the last 9 hours, little accumulation as everything has blown away. Will the atmosphere ever saturate? The radar does not match the intensity as Rob said.

    Posted February 8th at 3:37 PM

  59. Nick (West Winfield,NY):

    Snowing mod here now..already a fast dusting:)

    Posted February 8th at 3:41 PM

  60. Brian (Brian):

    Blowing, sideways snowfall in Whitesboro. Visibility fine. Roadways clear as of now.

    Posted February 8th at 3:41 PM

  61. Brian (Brian):

    Blowing, sideways snowfall in Whitesboro. Visibility fine. Roadways clear as of now.

    Posted February 8th at 3:41 PM

  62. Adam Musyt:

    58 – Dry slot is just one of the many challenges to face as a meteorologist when we have an “energy transfer” from one low pressure to another.

    Still, I’m pretty confident that this fills in quickly over the next couple of hours.

    Snow has rapidly intensified in Binghamton and Syracuse over the past couple of hours and as the old upper low gets absorbed into the coastal, it still appears that some of that energy is going to fill in locally.

    Posted February 8th at 3:44 PM

  63. Anthony (Oriskany 565 ft.):

    Radar showed a moderate band of snow coming through my back yard, but only light snow here.

    Posted February 8th at 4:29 PM

  64. MG (Point Rock):

    Just made a careful measurement — 6.0” for a storm total so far. At this moment, the intensity has backed off to moderate — about a half-mile visibility.

    Posted February 8th at 4:57 PM

  65. Brian (Brian):

    Roads still clear in Whitesboro. Still see blades of grass too. Blowing snow but only light so far.

    Posted February 8th at 5:04 PM

  66. Adam Musyt:

    Snowing moderately here on the hill. Cars are now covered.

    Posted February 8th at 5:13 PM

  67. sue (fairfield):

    barely a coating up here…..winds in the teens….temp of 25….light to moderate snow falling

    Posted February 8th at 5:18 PM

  68. Jeff H (Sherburne Hills):

    Moderate to occasionally heavy snowfall at this time

    Posted February 8th at 5:33 PM

  69. Lori (Bridgeport):

    anyone who wants a storm is more than welcome at my house ! .....just took my last out with the dogs ….not nice ! ..The accumulation is the least of things …it is a very fine sand like snow that is blowing and pelting you in the face so hard you cant see, but it is still adding up . I probably have a good solid 4 inches …in drifts higher…when you look out the window doesnt look like it is doing much …..so fine it is deceiving.

    Posted February 8th at 5:35 PM

  70. Nick (West Winfield,NY):

    .50- 1 inch here at the moment with light to mod snow falling.
    Flake size has finally increased here.

    Posted February 8th at 5:46 PM

  71. Jimmy (New Hartford):

    Snowfall rate has picked up here, big flakes

    Posted February 8th at 5:52 PM

  72. Adam Musyt:

    Moderate to heavy now here at the station with reduced visibility and winds picking up…

    Posted February 8th at 5:53 PM

  73. mike w (HERKIMER):

    About 3/4” here in east herkimer, light-moderate snow falling at the moment..

    Posted February 8th at 6:08 PM

  74. Brian (Lairdsville):

    Snow is pouring down, smaller flakes, but a lot of them. Temp at 25 degrees. One inch and counting.

    Posted February 8th at 6:08 PM

  75. Art (Oriskany Falls):

    We have 1-14” of Snow here since it started Snowing around 1600 hr.
    It is now Snowing at a good clip. It started off Snowing Slowly.

    Posted February 8th at 6:32 PM

  76. Art (Oriskany Falls):

    The temp. here is 26*, Nice Snow temp.

    Posted February 8th at 6:34 PM

  77. Nick (West Winfield,NY):

    Snow def. has fluff on it now since flake size increase. Maybe 15-1 to 20-1 had but I wonder if it is closer to 20-1..

    Posted February 8th at 6:43 PM

  78. Rob (Whitesboro):

    Just measured 1.1” of snow here since 3:30.

    Posted February 8th at 6:48 PM

  79. Adam Musyt:

    1.3" of snow on the pavement since I arrived here at the station in Deerfield at 3:30.

    Posted February 8th at 6:49 PM

  80. SteveH (Tully):

    We have 4.5” of snow here in southern Onondaga county. Coming down heavily right now!

    Posted February 8th at 6:58 PM

  81. Mel (Westernville):

    5” here so far – went to Rome at 4:30 and 2 cars off the road waiting for tow trucks in the first mile – then once we got to the dam just wet roads!

    Posted February 8th at 7:42 PM

  82. Rob (Whitesboro):

    Heavy snow here right now. It’s really coming down now.

    Posted February 8th at 7:45 PM

  83. nugfin (Neil) (South Utica - Genesee St.):

    Just measured 2.3” here so far.

    Somebody shut the wind off as well, not even a breeze, snow is just coming straight down.

    Posted February 8th at 7:45 PM

  84. Nick (West Winfield,NY):

    mod to heavy snow now..
    3 inches here.

    Posted February 8th at 7:46 PM

  85. Nick (West Winfield,NY):

    Same here…wind has calmed

    Posted February 8th at 7:47 PM

  86. Rob (Whitesboro):

    1.1” the past hour

    Posted February 8th at 7:51 PM

  87. Jimmy (New Hartford):

    2.9” here with heavy snow

    Posted February 8th at 7:53 PM

  88. Adam Musyt:

    An even inch in the last hour here.

    2.3” and counting…

    Posted February 8th at 7:57 PM

  89. Art (Oriskany Falls):

    My first post was 1.25 inches and just measured again and we have 1.50 inches more.

    temp. is 25*. barometric pressure is falling fast now.

    Posted February 8th at 8:01 PM

  90. Jeff H (Sherburne Hills):

    According to the wife, 4” at the house. Moderate to heavy snow falling here on the hill in Norwich.

    Posted February 8th at 8:02 PM

  91. Tom (Richfield Springs):

    Snowing hard here, 2.5” so far.

    Posted February 8th at 8:14 PM

  92. Rob (Whitesboro):

    NWS in NYC launched their weather balloon at the top of the hour and it got lost. They never got any data. Never heard of that before.

    Posted February 8th at 8:31 PM

  93. Rob (Whitesboro):

    1.2” last hour for a total of 3.4”

    Posted February 8th at 8:45 PM

  94. Nick (West Winfield,NY):

    4 inches here now.

    Posted February 8th at 8:55 PM

  95. Gordon (Northwestern):

    5.8” of snow as of 8:45 PM. Just got back from a week of snowmobiling in Old Forge. They had about 6” of snow from 7 AM till about 4 PM, then it got a lot lighter up there, and they only had 1” from 4 PM until 7 PM when I left to go home. Roads were snow covered but not very slippery on my way home from Old Forge.

    Posted February 8th at 8:59 PM

  96. Adam Musyt:

    3.7” here at the station and counting…

    Posted February 8th at 9:03 PM

  97. Art (Oriskany Falls):

    The past hour and 10 minutes we got .75 inch of Snow.
    The temp. is 24* now

    Posted February 8th at 9:12 PM

  98. Brent(802 Feet) (Dolgeville):

    Not accurate at all just from visual here all day until now is less then 2 inches guessing around 1ish . Snowing lightly to mod.

    Posted February 8th at 9:13 PM

  99. Adam Musyt:

    Looks like the 1”+ snowfall rates that many of us in Oneida County have seen over the past few hours are about to exit stage right. So in and around Utica, once we get past 10:30 or 11:00, it may be more like 1/2 inch per hour.

    Posted February 8th at 9:20 PM

  100. Bill Kardas (WKTV):

    4.0” of snow in North Utica so far.

    Posted February 8th at 9:20 PM

  101. Adam Musyt:

    Brent – looks like you’re the odd man out.

    It’s not over yet, though.

    Posted February 8th at 9:21 PM

  102. Jimmy (New Hartford):

    Just measured 5.0 inches

    Posted February 8th at 9:34 PM

  103. Rocino (N.Marcy):

    5” here…moderate snow falling….. Adam, it looks the coastal low is trying to push heavy snow back westward. I would not be surprised to see some banding refill locally.

    Posted February 8th at 9:43 PM

  104. Rob (Whitesboro):

    0.9” last hour for and 4.3” total

    Posted February 8th at 9:46 PM

  105. Adam Musyt:

    103 – Maybe – but if it’s going to happen it’s going to have to happen soon. The coastal low is chugging along and it looks to be drying out fast west of I-81.

    Posted February 8th at 9:47 PM

  106. Adam Musyt:

    An even 5.0” at our studios.

    Posted February 8th at 9:49 PM

  107. Adam Musyt:

    We’re definitely in the height of the storm for now.

    New run of the NAM (00z) shows very little precipitation after 6z. Next few hours will determine our overall total.

    Posted February 8th at 9:58 PM

  108. Chris (HP CoCoRahs) (Holland Patent):

    5.5 inches here so far since the event started. Snow started here around 4:30. In the last 2 hours picked up 3 inches 1.5 inch/per hour. Break down heavy snow falling currently, visability down to next to nothing. Windy as well.

    Posted February 8th at 10:04 PM

  109. nugfin (Neil) (South Utica - Genesee St.):

    5.2” here so far.

    Steady light snow falling.

    Posted February 8th at 10:06 PM

  110. Rocino (N.Marcy):

    Adam,

    Radar is filling back in from 81 east… hopefully, we can pick up several more inches and get a nice solid snow base back for us winter sports enthusiasts….

    Posted February 8th at 10:07 PM

  111. Adam Musyt:

    Visibility back up to 1.25 miles at RME after being 1/2 to 3/4 of a mile for the past five hours.

    Posted February 8th at 10:08 PM

  112. Adam Musyt:

    110 – Well you guys are certainly off to a good start with tonight.

    Posted February 8th at 10:10 PM

  113. Rob (Whitesboro):

    0.72” liquid in New Haven CT the last 2 hours.

    Posted February 8th at 10:11 PM

  114. Jeff H (Sherburne Hills):

    That has got to be the neatest radar animation I have seen in a long time, there is like a convergence zone just east of us..Herkimer/Otsego county area…where the precip is moving east and west in the same spots. It really is neat to look at.

    Posted February 8th at 10:12 PM

  115. Rob (Whitesboro):

    Conventry CT 12.0” of snow in 90 minutes

    Posted February 8th at 10:15 PM

  116. Brent(802 Feet) (Dolgeville):

    Not perfect but i measured in about 10 spots within a block of where i live and have measured anywhere between 2.6 and 3.4.

    Posted February 8th at 10:16 PM

  117. Matt (Rochester):

    Still snowing out here. 8.5 inches of snow and still going. Looks like a NNW wind will be fed with some lake moisture to keep the snow falling over night. Still falling at about .5 inch per hour.

    Posted February 8th at 10:19 PM

  118. Michael (Dolgeville):

    That Coventry, CT snowfall rate would equal 8” inches an hour!!! I dont think ive even seen that in Lake Effect!!!

    Posted February 8th at 10:19 PM

  119. Nick (West Winfield,NY):

    Just over 6 inches here now and still going strong. :)

    Posted February 8th at 10:23 PM

  120. Adam Musyt:

    118 – That sure is impressive. And you can bet that the water content is MUCH higher than what we’d see in lake effect. If we assume a 10:1 ratio that’s 8 tenths of liquid equivalent in an hour. That’s impressive enough on an 80 degree say with a 70 degree dew point. With temperatures below freezing it’s remarkable.

    Posted February 8th at 10:27 PM

  121. Gordon (Northwestern):

    7.7” of snow as of 10:30 PM.

    Posted February 8th at 10:33 PM

  122. MG (Point Rock):

    Measured at 10:20PM, storm total is 10.1”. Water content is 0.61. Just light snow falling at this time. It has been snowing here since before 7 AM

    Posted February 8th at 10:34 PM

  123. Adam Musyt:

    5.7” is the measurement here on the hill.

    Posted February 8th at 10:42 PM

  124. Jimmy (New Hartford):

    5.5” is the number here.

    Posted February 8th at 10:46 PM

  125. Adam Musyt:

    Thanks to everyone for all of the reports!

    Posted February 8th at 10:53 PM

  126. Art (Oriskany Falls):

    It’s been almost two hours and we picked up just
    another inch.
    This makes our total 4 inches.
    The temp. is still 24*

    Posted February 8th at 10:56 PM

  127. Ryan (Sauquoit):

    7 inches here in Sauquoit and it is still really coming down!

    Posted February 8th at 10:57 PM

  128. sue (fairfield):

    3” as of 11pm…temp 21

    Posted February 8th at 11:13 PM

  129. Rocino (N.Marcy):

    6.5” here moderate snow falling … Adam, just wondering about the massive blob of precip pinwheeling this direction, will it make it here tomorrow morning… Radar demons to look that way rt now. ...this storm is enormous… Pressure is equal to a cat 2!

    Posted February 8th at 11:18 PM

  130. Rocino (N.Marcy):

    Seems…not demons… Sorry for the autocorrect…haha

    Posted February 8th at 11:19 PM

  131. Adam Musyt:

    An even 6.0” here at the station. Snow is much lighter now.

    129 – I don’t see much more than another couple of inches out of this for Utica/Rome. The echoes attempting to move in from the northeast are encountering drier air from the west. The surface area of 25 DBZ or higher echoes over the ‘Dacks is considerably less than it was just an hour or two ago.

    This thing should be over with, save only for a few snow showers, by 2 or 3’oclock.

    Posted February 8th at 11:31 PM

  132. mike w (HERKIMER):

    6” here in east herkimer and still sowing moderatly..

    Posted February 8th at 11:41 PM

  133. Rob (Whitesboro):

    00Z GFS keeps them coming. It’s got 2 more nor’easters by next weekend.

    Posted February 8th at 11:50 PM

  134. Jeff H (Sherburne Hills):

    Total of 5.2” here snowing lightly now.

    Posted February 9th at 12:09 AM

  135. Nick (West Winfield,NY):

    Little over 7 inches here at 12am.

    Posted February 9th at 12:15 AM

  136. Rob (Whitesboro):

    Storm total here is 5.6”

    Posted February 9th at 2:43 AM

  137. Tom (Richfield Springs):

    Still snowing but not as hard as before, some wind, 7.9” so far as best as I cam measure.

    Posted February 9th at 5:19 AM

  138. Nick (West Winfield,NY):

    8.5 inches here and still snowing some. Best as I can measure as well.

    Posted February 9th at 5:26 AM

  139. Michael (Dolgeville):

    Storm total here is 6.5” inches

    Posted February 9th at 5:38 AM

  140. Nick (West Winfield,NY):

    A cold 10 degrees here btw.

    Posted February 9th at 5:46 AM

  141. nugfin (Neil) (South Utica - Genesee St.):

    Storm Total here is 8.5 “

    Posted February 9th at 6:54 AM

  142. Denys (East Winfield):

    8 degrees, overcast with a light wind. We got 9.5” of snow here.

    I was in Dallas yesterday…..it was really nice and warm! Nice “coming home” present I got!!

    Posted February 9th at 7:04 AM

  143. Denys (East Winfield):

    oh…and it’‘s lightly snowing here now too!

    Posted February 9th at 7:05 AM

  144. Nick (West Winfield,NY):

    Since I last posted ..weve goten .5 here of fluff.
    9 inches total is up to now and still snowing.

    Posted February 9th at 7:06 AM

  145. Jill Reale (Utica):

    Thank you for the totals! Light snow winds down this morning and the storm heads out to see. Crazy snowfall totals to our East. 34” in Hamden, CT!

    Posted February 9th at 7:11 AM

  146. MG (Point Rock):

    Final tally here 11.3”

    Posted February 9th at 7:28 AM

  147. Tom (Richfield Springs):

    Up to 8.6” of snow on the ground, just about stopped snowing here now. Denys, glad you got home safe, but wish you could have brought us some of that nice weather!

    Posted February 9th at 7:47 AM

  148. Nick (West Winfield,NY):

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LGrmjy_Kmso&feature=youtu.be

    Snow has stoped here…
    9 inches for the total.

    Posted February 9th at 8:04 AM

  149. Jill Reale (Utica):

    Milford, CT now takes the cakes, with 38” of snowfall.

    Posted February 9th at 8:04 AM

  150. Jimmy (New Hartford):

    8.5” here is the total. Overall it seems the forecast was spot on!

    Posted February 9th at 8:10 AM

  151. Art (Oriskany Falls):

    Since 11:00 PM we got 2 inches more, for a
    Total of 6 inches.

    Posted February 9th at 8:16 AM

  152. Deb (Hartwick):

    7 inches of new snow here…windy and flurries…...10 degrees.
    season total 40.25 “

    Posted February 9th at 8:21 AM

  153. weatherjan-Oneida (Oneida):

    Oneida, NY totals: 6.8” with water content
    0.44”

    Posted February 9th at 8:50 AM

  154. Stephen Smith (West Neighborhood - Fairfield):

    CoCoRaHS station NY-HR-6 Conditions @ 6:12am 2-9-2013 location 0.9 miles NW of the WKTV tower:
    Light snow falling, 8.4” new snow fell over the reporting period, since 4:30 pm, yielding 0.52” WE. Snowpack is 10.5” Bp:30.04“hg; T:10.9ºF; RH:45%; Wd:N BEARING 358º; Ws:3.1 mph; Wg:8.8 mph. O’ Well, we got a little out of this one, just enough to brighten things up!.

    Posted February 9th at 9:01 AM

  155. Rob (Whitesboro):

    I was happy with my total untill I’m seeing all these reports. Looks like I was the snow hole in the area. Snow pack here is 9.0”

    Posted February 9th at 10:23 AM

  156. Chris (HP CoCoRahs) (Holland Patent):

    8.5 inches here for holland patent from Nemo. Water content .59 inches. Snow last night was heavy but not heavy in weight. Sunny here as the clean up begins

    Posted February 9th at 10:35 AM

  157. Rocino (N.Marcy):

    8.0” even here on top of the hill…seasonal total at 81.1”. Getting excited about the GFS hinting at more coastals. We need to get some more LES as our LES window is fastly diminishing for any daytime accums due to the sun angle.

    Posted February 9th at 11:08 AM

  158. Jimmy (New Hartford):

    Seasonal total is 66.5 inches. That is already 23.2 more inches than last year.

    Posted February 9th at 11:56 AM

  159. Brian (Lairdsville):

    8.5 inches up to 16 degrees

    Posted February 9th at 12:01 PM

  160. SteveH (Tully):

    Received a nice 11.2” of winters finest. Off to go snowshoeing to enjoy it! Before we know it we will be in mud season.

    Posted February 9th at 12:07 PM

  161. Rob (Whitesboro):

    Boston ended up at 24.9” (5th all time). Haven’t heard anything from Portland but they’re going to be the big winner with near 40”.

    Posted February 9th at 1:27 PM

  162. sue (fairfield):

    8” storm total

    Posted February 9th at 1:52 PM

  163. Jeff H (Sherburne Hills):

    we must have been in a snow shadow here is Sherburne, we only had 5.8” total for the storm.

    Posted February 9th at 3:09 PM

  164. Rob (Whitesboro):

    Portland had 31.9” at 1PM. Biggest storm ever for them.

    Posted February 9th at 4:10 PM

  165. Koz (Ilion):

    I measured 7.5” here in Ilion

    Posted February 9th at 4:17 PM

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