Summer-Like Weather for the Beginning of the Week

Posted May 19th, 2013 by Jill Reale. 18 comments

Once again, a warm front stalled just to our west, keeping cooler temperatures and clouds over Central NY. It is not every day you see temperatures in Buffalo 20-25 degrees warmer than the Utica region.  Here are the area high temperatures:

Buffalo: 81°

Rochester: 79°

Syracuse: 69°

Utica: 62°

Binghamton: 62°

Albany: 59°

The warm front will make it through the region tonight, keeping temperatures in the mid to upper 50s during the overnight into tomorrow morning. You will also notice more in the way of humidity on Monday, with dew points in the low 60s. As for active weather, tomorrow looks very similar to today (minus the chilly temperatures) as a boundary will be just to our north throughout the day. Close enough to give us some cloud cover and the potential for a pop up shower or thunderstorm. We have a better chance for showers and thunderstorms beginning on Tuesday.

An upper level low drops into the region on Tuesday, bringing in some moisture as well as a trigger (or lift) for the potential for some convection. If we can squeak some sunshine in on Tuesday, temperatures could really warm up into the mid 80s. The combination of daytime heating, extra moisture and a trigger, we could see some thunderstorms Tuesday through Thursday. SPC has us in the “See Text” area for those days, so it is something to watch.

The other big story is what happens after Thursday. A big weekend up ahead, as the unofficial start to summer begins but it may feel more like spring. A strong cold front on Thursday will bring much cooler weather starting on Friday. Highs on Friday may not get out of the 50s, with temperatures moderating back into the 60s by the weekend.

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  1. Tom (Richfield Springs):

    55 degrees, overcast, light breeze.

    Posted May 20th at 4:52 AM

  2. Denys (East Winfield):

    56 degrees, overcast, with a light wind. Never fails….Memorial Day weekend is usually a bust weather wise. Lets hope it warms up a little by that time!

    Posted May 20th at 5:20 AM

  3. Bill Kardas (WKTV):

    70/60 (temp & dew point) at Rome as of 11am. Yes, the warm front made it through! It will be a warm and humid afternoon. The risk of thunderstorms is small, but there. There will be enough instability in the atmosphere, but no obvious trigger. The environment is lacking in wind shear, so things shouldn’t get out of hand today.

    Posted May 20th at 11:21 AM

  4. Rob (Whitesboro):

    Large wedge tornado coming into Moore, OK. Almost a mile wide with a 140kt couplet.

    Posted May 20th at 4:06 PM

  5. Rob (Whitesboro):

    This is insane! Tornado now 1.25mi wide with a 190kt couplet. Right over the city of Moore.

    Posted May 20th at 4:22 PM

  6. nugfin (Neil) (South Utica - Genesee St.):

    High of 83* here today

    Posted May 20th at 5:01 PM

  7. Rob (Whitesboro):

    High was 80 here. Not used to this humidity. Models have storms firing late tonight.

    Posted May 20th at 9:05 PM

  8. Rob (Whitesboro):

    3000 CAPE on the NAM tomorrow. Just enough shear for severe weather too. EHI levels even get to 3 at times.

    Posted May 20th at 11:10 PM

  9. Bill Kardas (WKTV):

    Pretty good lightning storm last night – all thanks to an outflow boundary from storms earlier in the evening. It reminds me of a mid summer style setup.

    Posted May 21st at 4:03 AM

  10. Tom (Richfield Springs):

    61 degrees, overcast, calm, we missed the thunder storm last night, it went just to the north of us. We could use a nice all day warm gentle rain to help things grow. Denys just a few more days before you can get your plants in the ground, we hope to start this weekend.

    Posted May 21st at 5:01 AM

  11. Denys (East Winfield):

    62 degrees, overcast and calm. Tom, I counted twice the peepers “died off”....that means one more time, right? Before we are safe to plant? :-) We had thunder and lightening last night with no rain.
    High yesterday here was 80 degrees.

    Posted May 21st at 5:21 AM

  12. Bill Kardas:

    Looks like a tricky forecasting day ahead, as we are situated over a frontal boundary. That will serve as a trigger to kick off more thunderstorms today – exactly when & how extensive is unknown at this point.

    What we do know is that the next round will arrive later this morning. We can see the next round arriving from Lake Ontario. If it holds together, it should bring us rain and a rumble of thunder between 7:30-8:30am.

    Posted May 21st at 6:27 AM

  13. nugfin (Neil) (South Utica - Genesee St.):

    64* here with .23” of rain from last night’s storm – there was some nice lightning with it.

    Posted May 21st at 6:31 AM

  14. sue (fairfield):

    nice lightening?....lol…....woke me up good…..got .59” of rain out of it…...much needed and i hope i have a garden left ; )

    Posted May 21st at 6:52 AM

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    Nice storm early this morning but a loss of power due to a power line fire in Stittville had us out for a few hours. Lightning struck the powerpole. Picked up a nice 1/2 inch of rain from this storm and we just had a t-shower pass here with a couple rumbles.

    Posted May 21st at 9:03 AM

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